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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Spurs, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$660,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$654,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs53c284,163$150,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns47c181,605$85,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,250.7266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Spurs51c49,071$25,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,026.3920545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns48c41,736$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,736.071,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs51c41,399$21,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,202.221,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Suns49c29,743$14,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,168.9337747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc540…f7e5backed Suns49c20,339$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,338.581741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d41…8008backed Suns49c19,109$9,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,684.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Spurs51c18,699$9,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,536.7345850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Spurs52c18,179$9,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,452.93447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Suns51c14,861$7,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,281.785341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Spurs51c11,999$6,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,119.4758449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns49c10,629$5,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,420.791,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Suns49c10,231$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.812,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Suns47c10,208$4,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,410.2615952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Suns49c9,295$4,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,740.4524053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Suns49c8,886$4,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,520.2948546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Suns49c8,496$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,332.9617550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Suns49c7,959$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.1826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Suns49c7,510$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,830.1938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs51c7,454$3,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,795.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Spurs9c7,432$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.8428245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Spurs52c6,532$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.6916547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns47c5,781$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.444,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Suns49c5,306$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.1216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns48c4,697$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Suns49c4,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,29514245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Suns49c4,202$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.0418749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Suns49c4,181$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.3125049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Suns49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6316640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Suns49c4,076$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.0324847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Suns48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Spurs49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns48c3,925$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.884,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Spurs50c3,827$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.9116635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Suns49c3,769$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.3970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Suns47c3,750$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Suns49c3,671$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.2131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns48c3,397$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Suns49c3,204$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.0838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5423…b96bbacked Spurs51c3,044$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7432…595fbacked Suns49c2,995$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf27…1550backed Suns49c2,978$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9c…7408backed Spurs51c2,957$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b51…ef5abacked Spurs51c2,952$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20f2…a069backed Suns49c2,939$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c7c…d2b5backed Suns49c2,928$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc5…4df5backed Spurs51c2,887$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f44…9cbfbacked Spurs51c2,886$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdba…2e8fbacked Suns49c2,878$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Suns51c2,877$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.915754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee84…ac6ebacked Suns49c2,864$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6760…816fbacked Spurs51c2,849$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01a…81b9backed Spurs50c2,842$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370a…742cbacked Spurs51c2,759$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b6…ee6abacked Suns49c2,673$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8360…ac0bbacked Suns49c2,665$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedaf…b793backed Spurs51c2,665$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c4…aeb3backed Suns49c2,650$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e9…3df5backed Spurs51c2,643$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7220…dd60backed Suns49c2,642$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe392…ea56backed Suns49c2,636$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Suns51c2,628$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.489952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e9…8259backed Spurs51c2,624$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe5…bb8bbacked Suns49c2,623$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Suns49c2,613$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.7732150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f7f…116ebacked Spurs51c2,607$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca06…1394backed Suns50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3001050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs54c2,600$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40444252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7737…69d9backed Spurs51c2,599$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Suns47c2,127$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.31,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Suns50c2,077$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.789952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns50c2,046$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Suns50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Suns49c1,960$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.624450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns48c1,939$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.372,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…110dbacked Suns50c1,666$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8334100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Suns50c1,634$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.4614455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Suns51c1,588$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.2419359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Suns50c1,428$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.9815240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns47c1,418$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.473,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Suns50c1,410$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70510556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns46c1,286$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.675,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns47c1,191$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.232,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs50c1,156$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.721,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Spurs47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51718651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Spurs53c1,080$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56912048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Spurs52c1,028$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53016162.7%101 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Spurs50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007332.9%24 W · 49 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Spurs51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Spurs51c990.74$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.35364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Suns51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.397951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns49c916$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.22,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns49c857$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Suns51c831.3$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.341353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Spurs51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Spurs51c686.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.