NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6dd3a2280b130d10dcdd393cbd807861e48d0869232b1ae69b5c36b0d32785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Spurs, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,957 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 51c | 12,268$6,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,960.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 47c | 11,421$5,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,376.39 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 52c | 10,082$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,861.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Suns | 53c | 9,184$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.3 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs | 49c | 8,148$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.73 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Suns | 53c | 8,038$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.67 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 47c | 7,369$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 47c | 5,768$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs | 47c | 4,071$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.43 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 44c | 3,774$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a759backed Spurs | 47c | 3,774$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…63b1backed Suns | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Suns | 52c | 3,750$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Spurs | 49c | 3,589$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.61 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 48c | 3,277$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.61 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Suns | 54c | 2,792$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.75 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Suns | 54c | 2,686$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.8 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Spurs | 47c | 2,588$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.51 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Suns | 54c | 2,537$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.03 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Suns | 54c | 2,304$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.87 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Suns | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 65c | 1,702$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,622$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Suns | 54c | 1,604$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.7 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Spurs | 36c | 1,226$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.72 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Spurs | 44c | 1,199$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.56 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns | 52c | 973.68$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.37 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Suns | 54c | 965$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.9 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Suns | 49c | 942.72$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.98 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 47c | 830.64$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 47c | 768.77$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Suns | 54c | 671.98$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.11 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 46c | 643.09$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Spurs | 47c | 602.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.41 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 55c | 546.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Suns | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Spurs | 50c | 458.26$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 46c | 452.31$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.06 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 48c | 450$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Spurs | 45c | 404.08$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Suns | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Suns | 47c | 338.3$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs | 46c | 333.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 60c | 288.15$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Suns | 50c | 274.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Suns | 53c | 266$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Spurs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Spurs | 50c | 201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Suns | 54c | 183.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Suns | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Spurs | 48c | 179.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…372dbacked Suns | 54c | 177.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Spurs | 46c | 169$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Suns | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Suns | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Suns | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Suns | 53c | 133$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 47c | 125.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Spurs | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…50b3backed Spurs | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Suns | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Suns | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Suns | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Spurs | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Suns | 53c | 96.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Suns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Suns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Spurs | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Spurs | 42c | 75.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 52c | 73.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Suns | 53c | 66.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Suns | 53c | 66.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…6b87backed Suns | 53c | 62.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 50cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Spurs | 34c | 60.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns | 53c | 60.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bad0backed Suns | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Spurs | 24c | 54.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Suns | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Suns | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Suns | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Suns | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Suns | 52c | 43.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…c37cbacked Suns | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Spurs | 46c | 38.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…20a7backed Suns | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed Spurs | 48c | 33.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Spurs | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Spurs | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Suns | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Spurs | 46c | 27.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Suns | 47c | 22.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Spurs | 48c | 21.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…a279backed Spurs | 48c | 21.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)this page
- Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Suns won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Suns vs. SpursSpurs won
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Under won
- Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.