TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb36…50b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Golf, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$44.92
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.86
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.52
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.54
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.72
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.75
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.59
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$68.83
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.09
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.03
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lightning vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.14
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 4 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$303.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$123.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$18.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.