UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36650c0b95e90a9440e2bf9d82377e2d249517b55e62172b6c41a6b4f6b06c9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movsar Evloevof Movsar Evloev, Lerone Murphy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,529,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,529,019 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,010 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Lerone Murphy | 30c | 374,999$111,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,749.68 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Movsar Evloev | 70c | 304,699$214,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,963.26 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Movsar Evloev | 61c | 70,132$42,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,503.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Lerone Murphy | 31c | 52,897$16,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,454.27 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Movsar Evloev | 69c | 39,970$27,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,390.39 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Movsar Evloev | 48c | 38,871$18,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,059.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Lerone Murphy | 31c | 38,365$11,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,893.09 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Movsar Evloev | 70c | 37,919$26,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,375.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lerone Murphy | 30c | 35,753$10,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,725.89 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Lerone Murphy | 30c | 33,666$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,099.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Lerone Murphy | 31c | 25,646$7,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,916.14 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lerone Murphy | 32c | 24,430$7,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,817.68 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Lerone Murphy | 45c | 24,360$10,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,947.4 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…1a33backed Movsar Evloev | 70c | 23,106$16,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,931.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lerone Murphy | 64c | 22,518$14,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,429.9 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Movsar Evloev | 69c | 21,739$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,739.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Movsar Evloev | 68c | 19,062$12,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.76 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Movsar Evloev | 39c | 18,654$7,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,401.6 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Lerone Murphy | 29c | 18,476$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.1 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Lerone Murphy | 33c | 16,658$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470.1 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Movsar Evloev | 70c | 14,502$10,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.28 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Movsar Evloev | 38c | 13,670$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460.11 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Movsar Evloev | 65c | 13,500$8,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.99 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Movsar Evloev | 68c | 13,288$9,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,205.51 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Movsar Evloev | 69c | 12,000$8,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lerone Murphy | 55c | 10,405$5,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760.67 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Movsar Evloev | 70c | 10,270$7,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.2 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Lerone Murphy | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…d74bbacked Lerone Murphy | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Lerone Murphy | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.6 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Lerone Murphy | 79c | 10,000$7,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,874.95 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lerone Murphy | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Movsar Evloev | 69c | 9,300$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Lerone Murphy | 30c | 9,220$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.86 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lerone Murphy | 32c | 9,016$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.8 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Movsar Evloev | 62c | 8,929$5,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lerone Murphy | 30c | 8,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.88 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Lerone Murphy | 61c | 8,053$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.85 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Movsar Evloev | 42c | 7,480$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Movsar Evloev | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3a…6b7bbacked Lerone Murphy | 36c | 7,180$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Movsar Evloev | 68c | 7,001$4,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…58b4backed Lerone Murphy | 31c | 6,478$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3723…1fdabacked Movsar Evloev | 63c | 6,349$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Movsar Evloev | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Lerone Murphy | 75c | 5,571$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.16 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Lerone Murphy | 31c | 5,104$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.13 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Lerone Murphy | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Lerone Murphy | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Movsar Evloev | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.95 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500d…db0bbacked Movsar Evloev | 69c | 4,936$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…e0dabacked Movsar Evloev | 69c | 4,898$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lerone Murphy | 58c | 4,859$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.68 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Lerone Murphy | 41c | 4,716$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.02 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lerone Murphy | 32c | 4,645$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.78 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Movsar Evloev | 69c | 4,621$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.24 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Lerone Murphy | 1c | 4,454$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…90f0backed Movsar Evloev | 70c | 4,400$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Movsar Evloev | 63c | 4,227$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Lerone Murphy | 31c | 4,142$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Movsar Evloev | 68c | 4,064$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.59 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Movsar Evloev | 57c | 4,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Lerone Murphy | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Lerone Murphy | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Lerone Murphy | 32c | 4,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Lerone Murphy | 34c | 3,961$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.43 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lerone Murphy | 32c | 3,942$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.44 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lerone Murphy | 32c | 3,682$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.24 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Movsar Evloev | 50c | 3,596$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Movsar Evloev | 37c | 3,544$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Movsar Evloev | 33c | 3,373$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Movsar Evloev | 68c | 3,255$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…6657backed Lerone Murphy | 32c | 3,147$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Movsar Evloev | 70c | 3,145$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.52 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Movsar Evloev | 69c | 3,130$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.43 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Movsar Evloev | 47c | 3,098$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.27 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Movsar Evloev | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Movsar Evloev | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Movsar Evloev | 68c | 2,920$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.86 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Movsar Evloev | 69c | 2,864$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.72 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Movsar Evloev | 63c | 2,796$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked Movsar Evloev | 69c | 2,750$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.08 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…e410backed Movsar Evloev | 69c | 2,687$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Movsar Evloev | 70c | 2,630$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lerone Murphy | 32c | 2,599$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.68 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lerone Murphy | 62c | 2,597$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.03 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Lerone Murphy | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Movsar Evloev | 68c | 2,480$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.59 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Movsar Evloev | 68c | 2,473$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.36 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +10.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lerone Murphy | 31c | 2,419$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Lerone Murphy | 59c | 2,383$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Movsar Evloev | 70c | 2,276$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Movsar Evloev | 34c | 2,274$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.25 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Lerone Murphy | 60c | 2,189$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.81 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Movsar Evloev | 69c | 2,170$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.57 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lerone Murphy | 32c | 2,133$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Movsar Evloev | 28c | 2,107$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.58 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…c095backed Movsar Evloev | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lerone Murphy | 32c | 2,027$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.24 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Lerone Murphy | 51c | 2,002$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Lerone Murphy win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.