UFC · resolved market
O/U 4.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29007f8b8508bb7a381807314d89723c73951e16b501f82927282b548583c528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,434 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 72c | 157,154$113,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,003.09 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 28c | 150,000$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,999.99 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 71c | 21,556$15,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,254.27 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Under | 29c | 18,967$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.37 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 32c | 17,175$5,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,458.02 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 28c | 11,498$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.51 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Over | 68c | 10,510$7,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 70c | 7,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Over | 72c | 3,561$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Over | 67c | 3,216$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.6 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 30c | 3,116$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.72 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 30c | 3,029$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.7 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 71c | 1,771$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.47 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 28c | 1,770$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.57 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Over | 68c | 1,083$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.37 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…e0dabacked Under | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 29c | 861$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 69c | 749.91$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.97 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 72c | 738.06$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 31c | 388.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 71c | 308$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…6851backed Under | 35c | 288.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Under | 32c | 285.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 31c | 280.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 32c | 263.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under | 31c | 248.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 31c | 237.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Over | 70c | 233.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Over | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 29c | 171.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 72c | 163.72$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Under | 32c | 158.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Over | 66c | 141.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 69c | 140.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Under | 29c | 139.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…a659backed Under | 31c | 137.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 72c | 128.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…f41dbacked Over | 69c | 107.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Over | 72c | 106.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc838…1263backed Under | 33c | 102.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 29c | 96.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Under | 38c | 87.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1641backed Under | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…4339backed Under | 31c | 81.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…be77backed Over | 67c | 79.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Under | 38c | 71.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70a…caf5backed Over | 70c | 71.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…40a6backed Over | 67c | 70.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Under | 38c | 69.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59d…64adbacked Under | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Under | 32c | 62.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed Under | 32c | 62.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Under | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7f4bbacked Under | 32c | 60.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 37c | 60.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 30c | 56.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87eb…456ebacked Under | 31c | 53.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Under | 31c | 51.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…3f9bbacked Under | 39c | 51.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 69c | 50.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Under | 29c | 48.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…47e7backed Under | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed Under | 31c | 44.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Under | 38c | 43.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 31c | 43.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked Under | 31c | 42.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…cb3fbacked Under | 39c | 41.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…1aa0backed Over | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Under | 32c | 40.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Under | 38c | 38.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Under | 38c | 37.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…655abacked Under | 30c | 37.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 30c | 35.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Under | 32c | 32.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Under | 41c | 31.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 69c | 30.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…0d9abacked Under | 38c | 29.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed Under | 38c | 29.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 66c | 25.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Over | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 72c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233c…fa66backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed Over | 62c | 17.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +123%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…460ebacked Over | 69c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…f736backed Over | 71c | 16.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a6…380bbacked Over | 69c | 15.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 4.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)Movsar Evloev won
- Will Lerone Murphy win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.