Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e5439757ec0899352f209fc007c315e1067011dcc7d483a9d3d9f61313b2c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,301 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 9,238$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.24 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 8,717$6,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.08 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 4,925$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.26 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 20c | 2,806$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…e347backed Yes | 19c | 2,770$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 1,074$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.72 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 855.54$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 608.8$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 524.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 20c | 510.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 19c | 481.81$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 466.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 4c | 356.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…50b3backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 20c | 280$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 4c | 250.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 19c | 240.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 20c | 215$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 23c | 185$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 168$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Yes | 19c | 160.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 159.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 151.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 78c | 134$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276c…374fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked Yes | 19c | 96.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 19c | 93.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 78c | 87.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…3cf9backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 77c | 86.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 21c | 84.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked No | 79c | 81.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Yes | 23c | 51.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…5688backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…afc9backed No | 77c | 43.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.