TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,468,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,740,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,468,693 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 658 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes69c173,915$120,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,157.482433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes69c144,491$99,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,608.0524044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No33c103,432$33,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,898.271741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c69,515$23,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,734.21,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes76c40,135$30,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,711.2871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes69c38,537$26,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,105.849747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes79c36,182$28,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,451.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No32c31,362$10,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,035.74252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No32c30,871$9,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,874.895040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes62c28,821$17,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,915.976942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No31c27,071$8,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,392366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No30c26,423$7,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,907.221144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No32c22,686$7,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,259.594551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes64c21,818$14,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,814.585040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No31c21,625$6,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,765.471241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No32c19,000$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,079.962437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No33c18,437$6,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,011.86450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No33c17,770$5,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,864944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Yes68c17,000$11,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4404100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No31c16,831$5,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,275.982920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes67c15,600$10,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,148616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-75.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No32c15,376$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9231957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No31c15,260$4,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6954030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No33c15,243$5,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,030.331225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No32c15,207$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,793.793450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No33c14,516$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,850.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes67c13,794$9,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,569.1352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No28c13,085$3,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.2937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No32c12,621$4,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,058.682842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes68c12,493$8,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,017.83655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No26c11,873$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,034.7935037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No33c11,840$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.22835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed No33c11,618$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,834944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes67c11,201$7,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,651.381172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes67c11,000$7,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,63013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No27c10,853$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.33256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No33c10,320$3,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,405.64447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Yes68c10,000$6,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe611…2294backed Yes63c9,385$5,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,472.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked No32c9,052$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes75c8,336$6,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.42875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes68c8,184$5,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.8121143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes67c8,093$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes67c7,545$5,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No32c7,400$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No32c6,827$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+114.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad1…f046backed Yes67c6,567$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes64c6,250$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2502100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+344.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No35c6,041$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.819558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Yes67c6,005$4,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes79c6,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2604751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes67c5,025$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.214151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6506553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7505538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes67c4,940$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.6815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes68c4,900$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5682528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Yes69c4,701$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.87862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No33c4,440$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No32c4,386$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.54812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2801637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4402653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes67c3,906$2,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No32c3,817$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.441250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No28c3,775$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0571546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No33c3,775$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No28c3,705$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.9931049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes68c3,614$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.57742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No31c3,576$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.563948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No30c3,502$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.61717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No32c3,469$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.6387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes68c3,365$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes66c3,077$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.691233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.071675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No31c2,550$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No31c2,528$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.3729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No32c2,450$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+86%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b57…1f2ebacked No33c2,371$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No32c2,355$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.2638056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes68c2,352$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.291154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ace…95a9backed Yes67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No32c2,113$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.0262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No31c2,062$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.4420150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes73c2,055$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.791154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c1,999$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.96368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No8c1,954$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8645233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes67c1,930$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.9319055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes68c1,835$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes67c1,821$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Yes67c1,800$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9360…f051backed Yes68c1,765$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.71887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+75%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes80c1,750$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No30c1,703$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.91330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes72c1,600$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44823250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes68c1,570$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d46…e9a2backed Yes78c1,542$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0736…4f30backed Yes70c1,501$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.