Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5d8cf4ba710cb1d75f73c64b4d5e6125739b7c284cd52d1146f8831ba331d20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,568 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 18,972$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.22 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 6c | 6,430$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.92 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 5,117$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.85 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 13c | 4,639$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 3,050$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Yes | 14c | 2,214$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 2,094$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 13c | 1,440$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,392$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 11c | 1,146$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 4c | 1,028$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 14c | 860.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 676.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 4c | 640.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 14c | 371.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 13c | 345$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Yes | 14c | 311.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 286.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…1e6fbacked Yes | 17c | 271$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Yes | 5c | 207.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 170.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe428…f37ebacked Yes | 9c | 160.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +216.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 149.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 12c | 100.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes | 14c | 97.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 14c | 85.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.