TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$401,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,570 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No30c42,652$12,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,809.294,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c42,550$10,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,853.71,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c28,450$12,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,349.4390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes33c16,883$5,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,230.223633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c12,921$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.27777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No17c11,090$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.0369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes23c6,233$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.1683939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No13c5,496$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.1922753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes29c5,172$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,672.414025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No73c5,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,649.9924145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes68c4,717$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.861,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c3,658$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.533,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c3,581$2,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.552,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Yes28c3,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.861631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes23c3,365$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.873531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9219255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed No62c2,241$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.544040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes55c2,182$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.9540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,050$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes27c1,733$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.212236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Yes33c1,578$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.695520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes34c1,403$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.41,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No73c1,148$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.0220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.4823727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c1,028$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.2942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No75c960.59$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.4428357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes27c843.07$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.4411820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes23c790.43$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.6322553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No72c777.78$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No15c724.13$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes50c679.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34025872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38561657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…be87backed No72c472.22$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No10c466.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.674238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Yes28c428.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.571957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes23c418$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.8615442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes27c407.41$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.411421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes28c403.57$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5711651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.776536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No73c388.54$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes46c355$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8245841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes27c355$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.156346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed No13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-75.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No11c300.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21620642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21623947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c297.51$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8263553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes71c290.49$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0819662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes56c283.82$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.881947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No29c280.49$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.281947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked No73c271.04$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.012755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes53c264.14$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.157554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes24c259.92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.541020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No75c252.73$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5523456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes47c250.89$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes28c245$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.026440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes58c223.61$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.612128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c220$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2969750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c211.33$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes54c205$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.791,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14415940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba3d…4b28backed Yes28c196.19$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.312030%6 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+71%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.194755.3%26 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd09a…e290backed No77c181.82$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No71c180$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.834252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.419056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes53c165.67$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.274740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c156.78$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2275451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes58c151.72$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7211457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No75c147.89$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.921258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6bc…8b3cbacked Yes24c144.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.69728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.867554.7%41 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed No11c137.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb36…50b3backed No41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes27c120$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.635148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Yes27c120$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No46c108.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2563…f946backed Yes28c107.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5913844.9%62 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.143554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.141442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+154.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f04…8c19backed Yes25c100.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+91%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739033.3%30 W · 60 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739276.1%70 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734247.6%20 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+65.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4049…25e4backed No27c99.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.121752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes28c98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.172638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked No14c93.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes27c92.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.14728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes26c90$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.46953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.966442.2%27 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.