TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,453 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No80c20,948$16,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,241.7590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes18c20,858$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.541,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No70c11,153$7,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.861040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes36c11,046$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9923633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes3c7,183$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.923435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes12c6,170$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.82,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c1,258$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2771,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes17c1,212$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Yes34c1,062$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes29c866.54$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.612540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No53c735.33$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.149736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes30c621.52$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1876222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes31c603.23$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187120%0 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c544.77$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.887838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes30c511.06$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3250149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502313%3 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-55.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c488.21$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.43,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes31c419.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c393.13$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes30c299.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes11c293.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3641147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f23…6d15backed Yes31c281.22$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.182157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…e8e8backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c263.91$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes31c254.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes43c248$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8945841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes7c226.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes31c226$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.069634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes37c201.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No69c191.33$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes31c188$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.289237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e6…64dbbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c146.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4632645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No68c142.51$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.611820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404949%24 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4049…25e4backed Yes14c123.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.821752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56bc…2d03backed Yes31c116.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+86.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3362744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60e3…afc9backed No65c96.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eca…969abacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes31c93.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes32c93.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9233544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes47c92.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.315442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.26440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55d…001ebacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed No74c82$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.363441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes31c79.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6217032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8496…27b6backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes30c72.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205427.8%15 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes31c66.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.516341.1%67 W · 96 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208142%34 W · 47 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e64…673bbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf49f…2661backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes31c64.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9328847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed No57c63.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.261323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1810561.9%65 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3f…2dafbacked No61c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.419255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes39c57.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5621950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No70c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick70cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4c9…98b9backed No70c54.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.284676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes42c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9729038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37cd…9547backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1187backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes30c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes30c49.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9320245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes27c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.231,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes45c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.365547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No70c46.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No75c46.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32969%20 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes30c45.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe89a…467ebacked No69c43.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.391275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddbc…6965backed Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.45736.8%21 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed No74c37.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.667861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No70c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82181%17 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes30c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.560%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes30c34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes36c30.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115940.7%24 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.