TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 153.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c2b…2575backed Under51c99,125$50,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,553.9360949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Over49c35,771$17,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,243.211957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Over49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,3001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c27,433$12,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,679.6412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Over49c26,452$12,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,475.964654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over48c6,557$3,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,417.914346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c6,420$2,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,507.485,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over42c4,091$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.7674051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…6738backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0805054%27 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over45c3,965$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over49c3,860$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.8318556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Over45c3,793$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.192045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over45c3,598$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.064353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over46c3,233$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.5621248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c2,300$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2652,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c2,271$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.331,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c1,393$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.912,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c1,305$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.4725145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Over49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6123348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under57c1,140$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.8823754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c1,090$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.918048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked Over49c1,071$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.135143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51013447%63 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under49c995.5$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.844738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Over44c991.38$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.1710451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x688c…2482backed Under52c953.14$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.63520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under56c885.16$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.6922250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over45c847.59$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.131,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0bb…fc0abacked Over47c775.18$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over42c743.61$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.294454.5%24 W · 20 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c704.68$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.134,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over42c594.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.098843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa631…a9cabacked Over46c554.14$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Over50c515.45$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.731747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c505.13$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.185,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9937246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed Over46c495.65$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.657450%37 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Over45c458.22$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.022955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…68b0backed Over47c342.98$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c341.77$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.390645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over45c308.42$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.631,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f0…96bebacked Over44c270.38$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.411250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c225.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.991,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2282846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over46c189.76$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4929650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over42c175$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under57c173.93$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1411844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under50c147.34$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8564647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb389…f59cbacked Over44c144.2$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.754854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aff…da59backed Over44c139.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.234146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over48c133.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1552843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…50b3backed Over44c112.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.091040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a7…6d08backed Over44c112.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.092045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ca…0022backed Over47c105.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.831250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Over48c103.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over48c102.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.696963.8%44 W · 25 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c101.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5250745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over45c98.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.337162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over46c98.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5762451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda0c…15e1backed Over57c95.19$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over44c93.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1930152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Over47c89.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over45c88.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4715238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over47c83.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3833058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under58c78.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.614445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0450548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae6…8796backed Over44c71.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ef…39b6backed Under69c69.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.096464.1%41 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over43c67.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2316546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over46c64.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0219348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Over43c64.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Over50c64.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.422142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over47c63.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8627650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under57c52.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7411741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…249cbacked Under57c52.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.741513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-71.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x60da…ae16backed Under56c50.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4140%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.788543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over47c44.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5116650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Under57c43.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.796841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over46c39.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.415354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Over45c37.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.848855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ac…941bbacked Under57c34.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8340%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39d8…cf32backed Over50c34.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Over43c34.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.716758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over44c33.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9316746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over46c33.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9269350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over47c31.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.748350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Over49c31.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Over49c31.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.253138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over49c30.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3133445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c46…84ccbacked Over45c25.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Under71c24.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.671030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd493…d21abacked Over46c23.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Under49c21.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.722360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.