Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c1cd668a056d2607c8fdabd6e186d36a1a15527f46381c2ef88250238ccb996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,210 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 2,991$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.45 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,899$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Under | 52c | 1,594$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.79 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed Under | 52c | 1,594$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 52c | 796.91$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.39 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 785.68$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.69 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 52c | 780.17$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.69 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 321$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.34 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 54c | 297.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 53c | 208.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 47c | 205.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ed…d4b2backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…079fbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Over | 67c | 167.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 33c | 161.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 154.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a7…6d08backed Over | 53c | 123.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 48c | 108.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 86.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 49c | 73.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 33c | 70.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 70.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 41.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 47c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 53c | 19.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 152.5this page
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)VCU Rams won
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-5.5)VCU Rams won
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-8.5)VCU Rams won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-1.5)VCU Rams won
- VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar HeelsVCU Rams won
- VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 145.5Over won
- VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 147.5Over won
- VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 149.5Over won
- VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 150.5Over won
- VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 151.5Over won
- VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 153.5Over won
- VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 154.5Over won
- VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.