TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 151.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,604 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over50c35,361$17,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,707.664348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c22,624$10,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,665.9812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under52c16,734$8,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,627.621936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under52c9,280$4,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,825.4211652.6%61 W · 55 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked Under50c8,009$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under51c7,922$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,040.38148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under52c6,230$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.4523243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c4,623$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.041,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under51c4,479$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.4239454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c4,280$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.632,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under50c3,982$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.189244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c3,780$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.3646246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over51c3,729$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.4218048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over49c2,981$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.0314854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under49c2,974$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.1461652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c2,637$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.451,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over51c2,469$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.2110443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200e…4048backed Over51c1,871$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.972035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c1,082$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.4325145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Over51c1,047$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.445843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81ac…ae05backed Under49c1,012$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.12825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc002…6f57backed Over51c1,009$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.211844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+31.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed Under51c996.93$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.447450%37 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over54c965.18$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.178754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c941$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4584854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c769.48$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.435,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c638.41$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.1919958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over51c584.62$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6416341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over49c550.15$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5763551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under50c542.11$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0610458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over49c520.41$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4122043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Over50c495.63$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.812755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Under51c478.38$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9714346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under54c416.06$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.247753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under49c404.59$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-38.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under61c297.5$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.481040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under52c285.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6927045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c278.03$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.313,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under36c275.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1922250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c268.15$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.418744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over50c257.53$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6710252%53 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under54c256.26$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.727258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c246.17$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.141,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ce…dbd6backed Under51c194.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Over51c194.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.247653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under52c190.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.135246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c169.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.014,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Over49c162.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over49c161.84$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5430853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over62c158.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8519153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over45c158.82$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7752843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under50c158.6$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.358652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c148.69$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8330152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under54c109.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6230054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Over15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+146.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x09f5…c391backed Under66c90.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c86.72$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3629650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c79.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2991848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under50c75.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5833058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0ef…39b6backed Under68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506464.1%41 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under57c69.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.669452.1%49 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over48c66.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d20…6d2bbacked Under46c64.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Under56c63.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.396136.1%22 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under66c60.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.691553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f8…ce1dbacked Under53c58.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Under55c56.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.19134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8467…ac1cbacked Over49c51.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under50c49.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7848551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over50c49.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5815252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c4a…4fb5backed Under56c44.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.787459.5%44 W · 30 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under48c42.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5135338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8430050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Under50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834055%22 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8324148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8332850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…2a71backed Under50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under62c38.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over49c34.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.698640.7%35 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under54c33.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0111456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over43c31.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.051030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over44c26.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9919454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c26.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4660954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed Under56c23.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12969%20 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+29.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.