TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Francesca Jones vs Venus Williams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Francesca Jonesof Francesca Jones, Venus Williams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,955 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x246b…fb5bbacked Francesca Jones76c7,985$6,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.774362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Venus Williams36c6,780$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.7610443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Venus Williams23c5,745$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.642,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Venus Williams20c5,010$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.317,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Venus Williams24c4,715$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.492,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Venus Williams36c4,400$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.0924840.7%101 W · 147 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesca Jones77c3,232$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.16,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Francesca Jones65c3,110$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.6244360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Francesca Jones64c2,509$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.0956757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Venus Williams40c2,490$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Francesca Jones62c2,304$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.457064.3%45 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Venus Williams43c2,140$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.5411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Francesca Jones75c2,039$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.71681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Venus Williams23c1,817$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.121,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Venus Williams40c1,723$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.213351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Venus Williams29c1,668$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.7150731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Francesca Jones67c1,659$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.728,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Francesca Jones64c1,526$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.181,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked Venus Williams21c1,062$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.646025%15 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Francesca Jones74c1,014$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.511,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Venus Williams35c839.39$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.791,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Francesca Jones64c834$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.241060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Francesca Jones74c811.36$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9524762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Francesca Jones78c747.68$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.332,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Francesca Jones69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18644038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Francesca Jones74c500$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13135559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Venus Williams37c470$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.91,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Francesca Jones64c447.94$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2610156.4%57 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Francesca Jones64c444$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.054,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Francesca Jones65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14059348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Venus Williams35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…50b3backed Venus Williams13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Francesca Jones77c364.67$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.272,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Venus Williams28c354.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.419,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Francesca Jones64c328.13$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1343448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Venus Williams29c317.12$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.61,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Venus Williams23c303.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.764,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Francesca Jones66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0347946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Francesca Jones64c301$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.143,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Francesca Jones58c264.79$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2113251.5%68 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Francesca Jones65c257.13$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7629461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Venus Williams26c254.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1139238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Venus Williams35c246.03$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.111,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Francesca Jones80c236.25$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.251,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Venus Williams44c220$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.691,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked Venus Williams25c216$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411846.6%55 W · 63 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Venus Williams42c209.74$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.093938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Venus Williams35c201.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.557427%20 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Venus Williams35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7047639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbe…4d6abacked Venus Williams16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6e8…b293backed Venus Williams20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020337.9%77 W · 126 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Venus Williams14c185.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.321,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Venus Williams23c180.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.097,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Venus Williams9c178.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8766139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Francesca Jones73c177.57$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2218548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Venus Williams19c173.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3317549.7%87 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Venus Williams39c172.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0845147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Francesca Jones68c161$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8737342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…da8dbacked Francesca Jones75c160.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.211776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Francesca Jones63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.21,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Francesca Jones64c156$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1638268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Francesca Jones65c155$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.251,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Francesca Jones65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.855350.9%27 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Francesca Jones66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5223554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Venus Williams17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.564065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Venus Williams14c140$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.628247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Venus Williams36c138.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9966452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Francesca Jones73c136.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4119167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Venus Williams19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Francesca Jones73c124.6$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.726535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d0…6fe4backed Francesca Jones65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.083053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Francesca Jones64c121$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.17,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Venus Williams39c117.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.87852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Francesca Jones70c103$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Francesca Jones63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3730452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Venus Williams36c99.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.998643%37 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Venus Williams23c97.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7636333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c9…7863backed Venus Williams19c97.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.532138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Venus Williams27c85.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.965745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Francesca Jones65c84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42250%11 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc86d…7ee1backed Francesca Jones64c81.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Venus Williams34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Francesca Jones64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.136758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Francesca Jones64c78.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1243353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Francesca Jones64c77.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9420758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Venus Williams21c77.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2354141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Francesca Jones72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.341,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Venus Williams39c74.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2921243.9%93 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Venus Williams35c73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.651,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Venus Williams37c71.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.482,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Venus Williams27c70.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.081,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Francesca Jones76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7923256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Francesca Jones63c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0589364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Francesca Jones74c64.19$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.695375.5%40 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Venus Williams25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50aa…0003backed Francesca Jones56c59.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.078353%44 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Francesca Jones61c58.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.983,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf864…c210backed Francesca Jones76c55.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.394864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Venus Williams21c52.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7770148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd652…5516backed Francesca Jones64c50.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.281266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.