TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8d0…6fe4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.95
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$11.88
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$63.54
Miami Open: Talia Gibson vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Miami Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rei Sakamotobacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$50.06
Miami Open: Francesca Jones vs Venus Williamsbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.08
Miami Open: Moise Kouame vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Open: Sofia Kenin vs Anna Blinkovabacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Miami Open: Laura Siegemund vs Petra Marcinkobacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Miami Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Chris Rodeschbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Miami Open, Qualification: Kaja Juvan vs Mary Stoianabacked Kaja Juvan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Leandro Riedibacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$8.5
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$19.26
BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Fonseca vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.14
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.17
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.42
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$14.64
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$32.12
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.72
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.43
Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$21.77
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.92
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.57
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.56
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked FURIA fe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$25.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.