TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No47c99,100$46,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,241.1929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes53c20,593$10,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,678.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Yes53c14,973$7,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,037.09977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c12,196$6,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,508.672,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c11,992$6,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,613.743,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes53c9,768$5,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,586.0549136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes71c7,753$5,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.631,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c6,365$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.968,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No46c5,891$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.145736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No46c3,819$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.72548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes54c3,619$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.9937851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes54c1,943$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.921947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes49c1,581$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.910155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes53c1,576$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.3933560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes75c1,280$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes57c1,206$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.615164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes53c1,121$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.244447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes53c1,008$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.987745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1e…5349backed No5c995.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c958.87$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.615,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Yes53c916.79$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.895651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes53c916.51$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.6336757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No45c899.83$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9333745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Yes53c777.44$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No33c777.31$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.186866.2%45 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes53c733.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.712850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes53c687.06$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9213049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes54c647.51$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9316255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes53c629.56$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8920953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Yes53c599.6$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.811266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes80c588.92$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.784676.1%35 W · 11 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes53c583.08$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.054953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes53c578.15$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.735345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes54c555.65$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.151,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes53c544.21$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.784637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No48c521.41$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2710846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yes67c517.84$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.114753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes51c494.82$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.463762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No34c493.11$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.781,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked No46c451.11$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.47837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No43c387.74$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.241,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes56c382.51$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.061,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes53c375.11$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No46c369.78$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.111,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes54c367.18$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4612331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed No25c361.77$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.624415.9%7 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes53c354.18$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No27c336.86$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.958964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No48c311.42$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4821345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No52c293.06$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.375728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Yes53c281.82$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Yes53c280.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes52c279.46$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7513351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes53c270.05$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9210564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes55c262.52$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.879361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes56c257.39$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.381,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes65c239.7$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8340242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes53c217.68$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3123542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No46c199.93$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9713545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.916262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x516f…3dc8backed Yes50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes59c192.71$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.591,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes79c190.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3124665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e07…0163backed Yes52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes52c186.14$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.012556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1818154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Yes53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes53c183.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9217857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.839256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No47c179.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.655155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes53c174.08$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8233266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4912541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked No31c168.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.525156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d7…824dbacked Yes70c164.17$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes53c150.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.84156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked No48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Yes53c146.6$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589d…b958backed Yes74c133.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes53c130.63$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9535758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No47c128.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.211448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes79c125.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.966369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Yes53c124.39$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Yes53c116.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes53c116.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6819264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes59c115.46$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.865442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes61c114.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.317542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No30c108.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9044…c2f5backed No45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Yes53c105.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.723956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed Yes50c102.82$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.413151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4816347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes53c97.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.673844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x342d…608cbacked Yes53c97.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Yes53c94.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b7…e2b5backed Yes53c94.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c86.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.181,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes53c82.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.721,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Yes53c74.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.171060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Yes74c59.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.812572%18 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.