South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76b05c880804df128b76c4072ff9087ce8ad49a05993940edf62d0921381ecbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 6,485$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.88 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,424$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,980$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.29 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 1,478$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 5c | 973.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 17c | 899.89$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Yes | 18c | 761.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 5c | 691.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 16c | 450.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Yes | 19c | 321.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 19c | 294.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 19c | 268$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 17c | 253.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Yes | 19c | 202.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x485b…fc40backed Yes | 14c | 170.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…a011backed Yes | 19c | 162.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 18c | 159.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes | 19c | 153$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 149.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Yes | 19c | 125.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 20c | 104.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Yes | 20c | 96.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Yes | 19c | 83.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 19c | 83.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…a45fbacked Yes | 21c | 81.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…6ebcbacked Yes | 18c | 81.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 19c | 65.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Yes | 17c | 62.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 17.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-01?this page
- Will Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?No won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.