Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Taylor Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2e6740314a4664bb370f87d3e6f23213c080955519c6b8fa23a7a4fa3621812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taylor Fritzof Reilly Opelka, Taylor Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,925 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Reilly Opelka | 1c | 15,532$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.34 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Reilly Opelka | 14c | 12,682$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.85 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Reilly Opelka | 34c | 11,887$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 9,416$6,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.74 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Reilly Opelka | 5c | 5,906$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.78 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Reilly Opelka | 9c | 5,588$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.74 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Reilly Opelka | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Reilly Opelka | 10c | 4,858$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Taylor Fritz | 66c | 4,632$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.44 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Reilly Opelka | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 3,252$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.42 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Reilly Opelka | 35c | 2,890$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.93 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Taylor Fritz | 65c | 2,492$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.98 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Reilly Opelka | 14c | 2,149$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.72 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Taylor Fritz | 74c | 2,108$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.2 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Reilly Opelka | 26c | 2,101$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.22 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…7b90backed Reilly Opelka | 1c | 1,922$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…4015backed Reilly Opelka | 35c | 1,783$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Reilly Opelka | 28c | 1,752$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.92 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Reilly Opelka | 31c | 1,750$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Reilly Opelka | 29c | 1,621$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.21 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Reilly Opelka | 31c | 1,620$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.18 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 1,596$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8447…f2dabacked Taylor Fritz | 71c | 1,328$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Taylor Fritz | 65c | 1,283$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.64 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Taylor Fritz | 68c | 1,126$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.25 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Reilly Opelka | 27c | 1,000$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Taylor Fritz | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Reilly Opelka | 32c | 953.7$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.18 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Reilly Opelka | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Reilly Opelka | 34c | 885.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…8a91backed Reilly Opelka | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Reilly Opelka | 8c | 769.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Reilly Opelka | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3508…39b5backed Reilly Opelka | 32c | 756.25$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Taylor Fritz | 65c | 699.06$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.67 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Taylor Fritz | 73c | 689.92$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Taylor Fritz | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Reilly Opelka | 10c | 673.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Reilly Opelka | 31c | 623.76$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 579$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001e…66e7backed Reilly Opelka | 14c | 525.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Reilly Opelka | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Reilly Opelka | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Reilly Opelka | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Reilly Opelka | 32c | 496.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Reilly Opelka | 18c | 480.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 448$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Taylor Fritz | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Taylor Fritz | 71c | 425.2$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Reilly Opelka | 33c | 424.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Taylor Fritz | 66c | 413.1$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Taylor Fritz | 68c | 411.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Taylor Fritz | 68c | 392.44$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Reilly Opelka | 11c | 379.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…a96bbacked Taylor Fritz | 70c | 374.8$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Reilly Opelka | 28c | 358.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Reilly Opelka | 7c | 342.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Reilly Opelka | 13c | 329.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Reilly Opelka | 13c | 323.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 305$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Reilly Opelka | 33c | 299.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…122fbacked Taylor Fritz | 68c | 295.26$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Reilly Opelka | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Taylor Fritz | 68c | 280$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Taylor Fritz | 69c | 260.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Taylor Fritz | 69c | 258.07$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reilly Opelka | 33c | 238$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Taylor Fritz | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Reilly Opelka | 29c | 219.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Taylor Fritz | 68c | 218.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…9152backed Taylor Fritz | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Reilly Opelka | 34c | 208$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Reilly Opelka | 32c | 207.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Reilly Opelka | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…6fe4backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 192.54$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Taylor Fritz | 69c | 184.23$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Reilly Opelka | 29c | 175.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Reilly Opelka | 20c | 173.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Reilly Opelka | 32c | 171.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Reilly Opelka | 12c | 166$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Taylor Fritz | 69c | 159.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Reilly Opelka | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Taylor Fritz | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…8535backed Taylor Fritz | 72c | 150.88$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…3b00backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Reilly Opelka | 29c | 146.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Taylor Fritz | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…03c6backed Taylor Fritz | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Taylor Fritz | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8f…2c27backed Taylor Fritz | 69c | 142.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Taylor Fritz | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 139.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Reilly Opelka | 22c | 139.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Taylor Fritz | 69c | 138.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Taylor Fritz | 75c | 128.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Reilly Opelka | 13c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Taylor Fritzthis page
- Opelka vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Reilly Opelka vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Opelka (+1.5)Fritz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.