TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,479 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes46c19,005$8,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,742.0719846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No55c16,874$9,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,650.643151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No54c10,900$5,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0145736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No58c9,520$5,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.368643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Yes40c6,476$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes35c6,465$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.741,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes42c6,000$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.6620046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No50c4,845$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.6414443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes45c4,825$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.537851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c4,642$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.648,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No56c4,540$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes21c3,585$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.383225%8 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No61c3,389$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32149449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c2,696$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.043,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No57c2,248$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.644153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No65c2,031$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.4647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007125.4%18 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c1,934$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.0119239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No71c1,602$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.751,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes42c1,488$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.348530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No54c1,233$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.5335758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes41c1,151$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47212541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes42c1,080$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.622657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes37c1,060$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3965125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c1,016$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.122,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes41c991.11$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No52c968.03$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.5628651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed No64c953$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes23c828.27$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2910657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed No64c817$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.12560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eec…8f96backed Yes44c766.82$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No57c750.06$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5281651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c647.69$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.11,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No72c565$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.24156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed No63c543.97$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes46c543.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes40c540.77$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8618140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c536.92$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.021,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes38c532.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4845946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes47c518.36$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.632744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4213…6940backed Yes44c510.61$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.671866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Yes4c499.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No63c490.99$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.673259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No53c450.03$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.041,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes44c394.51$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6813548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No80c371.91$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes36c369.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.616124.6%15 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No56c342.82$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8416543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Yes46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-37.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52a0…12cdbacked Yes45c317.38$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.45922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No70c312.45$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5841256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b52…eecabacked Yes28c300$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd573…f99ebacked Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No54c299.97$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.994242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No59c289.1$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.542560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No67c286.24$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.661,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No63c284.92$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.422755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Yes32c281.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9950%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed No63c270$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes37c261.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.287128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes44c260.02$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.221,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes28c249.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes36c249.59$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7370055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No59c231.17$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.221,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes25c226.02$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No58c226$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked No54c218$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.284100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c213.85$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.841,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes30c196.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes16c192$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.227437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8155155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No59c174.89$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.78056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6713257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes37c160.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.565935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No65c154.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.148248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.517560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes35c139.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4149535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No56c138$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4411448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No76c135$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.084951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No67c126.25$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1716842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…7d4ebacked Yes46c125.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes37c122.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4313228%37 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes49c122.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.043167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.867548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf57a…bd53backed Yes47c117.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.171952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes44c115.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.846759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No65c114.65$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3137355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No54c113.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.676141%25 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Yes47c112.72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.641145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No64c109.31$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2336757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No48c108.69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2923254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed No61c107.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.14656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.