South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc2d63734291b9c873ddc04447b03a1fa6f7ca720c723a2448e690cb991838bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,343 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 3,882$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.38 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 1,983$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.74 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 40c | 1,877$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.62 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,053$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.74 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 40c | 817.13$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.84 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 21c | 799.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.98 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 773.24$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.85 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 7c | 720$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 719.53$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 55c | 685$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.01 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 540.01$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.83 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 28c | 500.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 19c | 497.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.09 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 35c | 395.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…25e2backed Yes | 61c | 326.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 302.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed Yes | 4c | 263.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 71c | 226.49$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 37c | 215.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 23c | 214.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.91 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 28c | 213.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 8c | 186.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 184.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 163$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 70c | 151.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 147$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…5fb5backed Yes | 70c | 142.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 138.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 136.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 110.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 40c | 103.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…38e7backed Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 92.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 29c | 81.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 43c | 81.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 31c | 70.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 60.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 38c | 53.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 44.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Yes | 75c | 40.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 62c | 39.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 35.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed No | 40c | 33.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 76c | 32.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 71c | 32.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 31.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 64c | 26.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 66c | 22.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…9078backed No | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-03-18?Yes won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.