South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c78fd3d39f692302b79895d5f961d503dbad88b0629fe543aa67dcc9eb2105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,271 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 13,381$6,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,831.94 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.95 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.97 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 5,069$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.5 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,822$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.96 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 4,616$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.62 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…c2d9backed Yes | 50c | 3,390$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 2c | 2,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 2,672$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.46 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 2,287$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.82 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed No | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…873cbacked No | 52c | 1,432$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 50c | 1,396$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.21 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Yes | 52c | 1,168$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 51c | 842.38$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 819.64$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 740.77$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.79 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998d…7c1ebacked No | 52c | 592.62$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 50c | 556.7$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.35 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 50c | 536.13$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.06 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 50c | 499.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 50c | 463.65$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.7 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 49c | 446.28$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 74c | 425.85$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 402.84$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…7078backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 379.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 49c | 301.5$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 252$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed Yes | 49c | 246.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 50c | 205.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 74c | 203.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…0c2abacked Yes | 50c | 201.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…3dc8backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…7eadbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c98…489abacked No | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…ebccbacked Yes | 49c | 175$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 174.04$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eff…903dbacked No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 158$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 49c | 153.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 126.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 51c | 114.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 50c | 110.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…1e41backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 98.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Yes | 53c | 97.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 52c | 86.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0e…75bcbacked No | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 48c | 79.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 76.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9590…c828backed Yes | 51c | 76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 24c | 73.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcb…9371backed Yes | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…dd77backed Yes | 49c | 54.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 48c | 52.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…c472backed Yes | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…f195backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…f630backed Yes | 50c | 50.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Yes | 78c | 49.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 52c | 46.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 44.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…17b0backed Yes | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…58e7backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b4…c865backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 37c | 40.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…6fe4backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…1b1fbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?No won
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.