South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bd4d1f61a60f2aa13fd2815363f827016670bb6365db6e169817c82063e110d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,991 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 22c | 9,372$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 7,171$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.2 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 3,925$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.73 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 1,759$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.5 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 22c | 1,726$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,252$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Yes | 22c | 1,168$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 78c | 1,127$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.94 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…af42backed No | 79c | 638.69$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 78c | 603.57$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 22c | 492.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 417.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 382.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a8…9a69backed No | 70c | 321.42$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a72…28adbacked Yes | 30c | 321.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 294$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…42d4backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed Yes | 23c | 247$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 22c | 212$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Yes | 21c | 190.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 22c | 155.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 137.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 21c | 131.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…f9c1backed Yes | 22c | 124$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…69b3backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…810cbacked Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…abcebacked Yes | 24c | 103$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…fc14backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…f630backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…d524backed Yes | 23c | 98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…75fbbacked Yes | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Yes | 21c | 90.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 23c | 85.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdc…2657backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 23c | 66.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…91b5backed Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 64.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Yes | 23c | 63.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 23c | 60.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…1d0dbacked No | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d8…b734backed No | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…247dbacked No | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…8739backed No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…f0ddbacked No | 78c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…9d32backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…04aabacked No | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…1382backed No | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cf…5914backed No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 78c | 30.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…7280backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…0575backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…9c5cbacked No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 79c | 25.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…35eabacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…932ebacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…94d4backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 78c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0a…be4bbacked No | 78c | 21.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…f195backed No | 78c | 19.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620f…5031backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 78c | 18.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…1456backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…cec8backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…d39abacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…794abacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?No won
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.