TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Laura Siegemund vs Petra Marcinko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Laura Siegemundof Laura Siegemund, Petra Marcinko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,277 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa550…09cdbacked Petra Marcinko45c12,979$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Laura Siegemund58c11,188$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,687.6624557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Petra Marcinko5c9,363$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.092,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Petra Marcinko8c6,321$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.482,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Laura Siegemund54c5,092$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Petra Marcinko18c4,382$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.542,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Petra Marcinko42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8404,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Laura Siegemund55c1,778$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.651,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Petra Marcinko33c1,527$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Petra Marcinko37c1,525$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.881,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Petra Marcinko42c1,487$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.3278536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Petra Marcinko39c1,473$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.6420554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Laura Siegemund69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.282740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Petra Marcinko1c1,400$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Petra Marcinko45c1,141$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.481,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Petra Marcinko43c1,078$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.341,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Laura Siegemund50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Petra Marcinko49c763.39$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.319,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Laura Siegemund56c647.67$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.351,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Petra Marcinko30c499.02$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.477,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Petra Marcinko33c428.75$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.942,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Petra Marcinko43c407$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.017,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Laura Siegemund69c384.61$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2318156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Petra Marcinko32c347.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.023,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Laura Siegemund56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13270652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Petra Marcinko57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17160943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Petra Marcinko9c288.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.971,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Petra Marcinko49c286.87$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.032,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Laura Siegemund57c286.4$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2651849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Petra Marcinko45c283.03$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.261,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Petra Marcinko42c258$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.037427%20 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Petra Marcinko40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Petra Marcinko36c246.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.372,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Petra Marcinko44c246.51$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.947,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Petra Marcinko23c241.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4928747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Petra Marcinko6c221.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.557521.3%16 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Laura Siegemund46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3947946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Laura Siegemund69c201$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9269249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Laura Siegemund58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed Petra Marcinko44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed Petra Marcinko44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac1…c3e1backed Petra Marcinko32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646839.7%27 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Petra Marcinko6c199.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11575.3%3 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Petra Marcinko45c190$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.596844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d0…39f3backed Laura Siegemund57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.447057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Petra Marcinko18c161.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Petra Marcinko38c123.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.022,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Petra Marcinko43c105$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3914028.6%40 W · 100 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Laura Siegemund49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5126941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38df…4609backed Petra Marcinko45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3d…6542backed Laura Siegemund50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Laura Siegemund49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Petra Marcinko39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.514746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Petra Marcinko44c97.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4343448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Petra Marcinko40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3263746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Laura Siegemund57c79.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0134950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Petra Marcinko44c66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.041,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Petra Marcinko44c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.281,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Petra Marcinko44c60.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6678152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50aa…0003backed Laura Siegemund56c60.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.498353%44 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Petra Marcinko44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Petra Marcinko45c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.277047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Petra Marcinko44c53.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5443353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd00d…0405backed Laura Siegemund45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.516948.5%82 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Petra Marcinko43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba8…90a3backed Petra Marcinko45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.548852.9%258 W · 230 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Laura Siegemund53c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.589364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Petra Marcinko44c48.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0995846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Petra Marcinko44c46.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.532842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Petra Marcinko44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Petra Marcinko44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2064358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d0…6fe4backed Laura Siegemund56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.643053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Petra Marcinko40c44.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.83,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Petra Marcinko45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.822847.4%108 W · 120 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Petra Marcinko45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.827246.3%126 W · 146 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Petra Marcinko45c43.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.829244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Laura Siegemund70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.865248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73d0…fa43backed Petra Marcinko59c41.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5410832.4%35 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Laura Siegemund52c41.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.954,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Laura Siegemund55c40.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1951…7542backed Laura Siegemund53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.87566.7%50 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Petra Marcinko46c37.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Laura Siegemund68c35.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2988455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Laura Siegemund57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0994060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Petra Marcinko41c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5357252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Laura Siegemund71c31.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.336,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f02…ce9bbacked Petra Marcinko38c29.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.483464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Laura Siegemund76c26.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2690854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Laura Siegemund78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6473458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Petra Marcinko44c25.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2369253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Petra Marcinko43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7530452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Laura Siegemund56c23.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3336333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Laura Siegemund61c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.971,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Laura Siegemund56c19.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.713935.9%14 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.