TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,555 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No36c54,683$19,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,460.7829446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c14,490$9,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,226.712,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes51c7,561$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,727.6130841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes62c5,726$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.931,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes63c5,187$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.8937851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes64c4,567$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.78,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No37c3,902$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.795736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No24c3,841$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.581,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed No36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No27c2,411$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.411,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes63c2,273$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.91850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes67c1,723$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.655164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes63c1,610$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.6919846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No42c1,592$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.2110155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes61c1,230$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.515354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes65c1,227$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.7533560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes64c1,013$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.921,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes70c857.19$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.612,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes62c832.57$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Yes63c782.24$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes48c771$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.922634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes62c757.33$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes65c753.28$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8136757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes57c738.97$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.7110564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No33c704.25$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.713,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes62c679.15$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.083259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes65c666.51$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.888763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a8…a3d3backed Yes67c635.07$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.571050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes66c596.17$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.413257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No37c591$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.674153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes63c586.68$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.074953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes69c560.14$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.971,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes65c534.24$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.311,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes65c523.77$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8716534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes65c508.27$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9620953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes68c507.98$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7911855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes67c484.52$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0910750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20c8…ce87backed Yes65c455.24$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.33366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes67c445.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1813351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes63c434.58$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.792339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes64c410.09$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.666235.5%22 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No37c398.71$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3b…b37fbacked Yes49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.791050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes68c388.21$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.331,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes62c385.02$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.31560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x516f…3dc8backed Yes64c382.19$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.592142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Yes63c381.34$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Yes65c378.8$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.115651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes62c355.18$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.974858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes50c318.49$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.242462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes49c314.7$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.59344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa65…1021backed Yes63c310.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb6c…4c44backed Yes64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.07757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22c…e8e9backed Yes65c301.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.434100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes68c297.27$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.16785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick75cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9579…44d4backed Yes66c296.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.356555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes66c296.12$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.178137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No36c279.94$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.783943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes63c277.36$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.687133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No18c268$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5430847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes67c263.43$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.022548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c236.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.641,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes64c229.17$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.54369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes64c229.05$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2840242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes62c227.69$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.524156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Yes64c224.05$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.66977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dab…6ecabacked Yes59c221.59$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…bc74backed Yes67c219.73$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Yes73c215.19$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.511250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes64c213.49$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.685,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes65c211.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes65c210.02$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5145253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes42c206.18$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.637745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9516262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d0…5b25backed Yes63c201.77$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.651070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ae3…af5dbacked Yes63c200.82$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Yes64c195.68$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked No50c193.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.575156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Yes62c189.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Yes65c187.97$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+72.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes62c187.62$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.36144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No35c184.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7313545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8048…5115backed No38c177.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8976951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.433043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19fe…33debacked No13c154.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes67c153.61$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.691855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes74c152.9$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.481,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Yes64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.044447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Yes62c151.47$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes64c150.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.345058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes65c150.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9618154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No35c149.69$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3931226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf315…1939backed Yes64c146.76$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.834100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.289256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.282965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Yes62c144.46$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.293243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.