South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3d6e1b39605190cb64a90fe62b0b876775790a0a9c9f500427e9def4e2f1dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 80c | 2,546$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.16 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,223$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.21 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 2,138$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.81 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,479$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.68 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 15c | 1,289$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 79c | 1,162$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 907.06$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 23c | 861.29$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 25c | 792$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 729.49$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 41c | 707.66$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.14 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 705.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed No | 80c | 661.96$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 45c | 538.03$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 78c | 516.02$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 21c | 513.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 63c | 494.43$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.18 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 64c | 428.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 11c | 350.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 79c | 272.48$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Yes | 21c | 246.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 24c | 198.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 76c | 157.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 136.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 22c | 132.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 22c | 125.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 119.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 118.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 39c | 115.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 18c | 101.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 22c | 82.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 82.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes | 21c | 78.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 20c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 60c | 75.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 71.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 68.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 22c | 54.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 20c | 52.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…8a38backed No | 78c | 50.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 75c | 45.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 43.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e12bbacked Yes | 24c | 42.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 63c | 41.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 37.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 30c | 33.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 39c | 32.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 39c | 32.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes | 39c | 31.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 38c | 28.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 71c | 27.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed No | 73c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 71c | 26.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 75c | 23.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 60c | 20.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…4417backed No | 71c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 78c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?this page
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-02?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.