Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Talia Gibson vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca74eace9406016cf1999d95db0ad96744973e68c4c8fc8e831570fd6c1f4bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Talia Gibsonof Talia Gibson, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,209 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Talia Gibson | 69c | 23,908$16,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.29 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Talia Gibson | 57c | 17,683$10,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,529.32 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Naomi Osaka | 26c | 17,391$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,531.59 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Naomi Osaka | 66c | 15,055$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Naomi Osaka | 38c | 12,809$4,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Talia Gibson | 36c | 11,207$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,207.48 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Talia Gibson | 69c | 9,128$6,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.45 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Naomi Osaka | 67c | 8,500$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.72 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Naomi Osaka | 13c | 6,500$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Talia Gibson | 33c | 5,732$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.35 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Naomi Osaka | 22c | 4,773$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Naomi Osaka | 69c | 3,530$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.93 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…5ce3backed Talia Gibson | 40c | 3,459$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.26 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Naomi Osaka | 64c | 3,189$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.28 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Talia Gibson | 36c | 3,109$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.5 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Talia Gibson | 32c | 3,015$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.9 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Talia Gibson | 53c | 2,872$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Naomi Osaka | 72c | 2,480$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.58 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Talia Gibson | 77c | 2,385$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.02 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Naomi Osaka | 64c | 2,304$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.54 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Naomi Osaka | 33c | 2,085$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.56 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Talia Gibson | 49c | 1,916$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.32 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Naomi Osaka | 7c | 1,821$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Naomi Osaka | 64c | 1,762$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.73 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Talia Gibson | 35c | 1,513$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.82 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Talia Gibson | 33c | 1,445$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.67 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 1,333$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.3 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Talia Gibson | 35c | 1,240$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.19 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Naomi Osaka | 18c | 1,221$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Naomi Osaka | 11c | 1,221$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Talia Gibson | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.47 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed Talia Gibson | 33c | 1,164$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.81 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Naomi Osaka | 67c | 1,067$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Naomi Osaka | 72c | 1,001$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.47 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Naomi Osaka | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Naomi Osaka | 17c | 1,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Talia Gibson | 34c | 949.17$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Naomi Osaka | 65c | 949.03$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.87 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Naomi Osaka | 25c | 883.09$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Talia Gibson | 42c | 882.58$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.06 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Naomi Osaka | 66c | 846$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.36 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Naomi Osaka | 65c | 756.4$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.06 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Talia Gibson | 62c | 701$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Naomi Osaka | 68c | 696.04$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.7 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Talia Gibson | 33c | 664.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.05 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Naomi Osaka | 59c | 647.6$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.7 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Naomi Osaka | 44c | 626.95$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Naomi Osaka | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Naomi Osaka | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Talia Gibson | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Naomi Osaka | 67c | 555.38$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Naomi Osaka | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Naomi Osaka | 60c | 524.08$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.45 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.69 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Talia Gibson | 35c | 499.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.98 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Naomi Osaka | 65c | 483.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.59 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Naomi Osaka | 66c | 454.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Naomi Osaka | 75c | 447.42$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…973dbacked Talia Gibson | 35c | 428.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Naomi Osaka | 65c | 404$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Naomi Osaka | 56c | 398.15$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Talia Gibson | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Talia Gibson | 41c | 348.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.25 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Talia Gibson | 38c | 346.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Naomi Osaka | 67c | 328.55$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Talia Gibson | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Talia Gibson | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Naomi Osaka | 36c | 316.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Naomi Osaka | 66c | 313.67$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Naomi Osaka | 66c | 301.49$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Talia Gibson | 32c | 299.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Naomi Osaka | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a2…6abebacked Talia Gibson | 35c | 289.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.13 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Talia Gibson | 35c | 286.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Talia Gibson | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Naomi Osaka | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Naomi Osaka | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Naomi Osaka | 68c | 220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Naomi Osaka | 65c | 211.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Naomi Osaka | 65c | 211.07$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Naomi Osaka | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Naomi Osaka | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…3138backed Naomi Osaka | 66c | 195.79$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Naomi Osaka | 67c | 194.19$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Naomi Osaka | 64c | 194.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Naomi Osaka | 65c | 188.35$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Talia Gibson | 33c | 187.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Naomi Osaka | 66c | 185.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Talia Gibson | 32c | 184.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Naomi Osaka | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Talia Gibson | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Naomi Osaka | 68c | 175.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855f…4954backed Naomi Osaka | 67c | 175.57$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 105 | 70.5%74 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Naomi Osaka | 60c | 172.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…7febbacked Naomi Osaka | 28c | 162.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Talia Gibson | 36c | 159.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Naomi Osaka | 66c | 155$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Naomi Osaka | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Naomi Osaka | 68c | 149.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Naomi Osaka | 67c | 148.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Talia Gibson vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Gibson vs OsakaGibson won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)Gibson won
- Talia Gibson vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.