NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2079d8feb58de3b8a96c7d95cc4be08f09dd907e2dd188e234a93cca7ef52bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $579,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,455 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 658 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23b6…3eeebacked Under | 52c | 66,641$34,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,653.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 57c | 38,386$22,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,028.27 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20d…c0ecbacked Over | 48c | 23,421$11,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,178.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…bef3backed Over | 48c | 20,998$10,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,918.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…84c2backed Over | 48c | 20,908$10,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,872.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…81fcbacked Over | 48c | 20,886$10,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,860.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…b885backed Under | 52c | 19,815$10,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,303.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…0799backed Under | 52c | 19,233$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,001.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3035…9fccbacked Under | 52c | 18,213$9,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,470.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6fbcbacked Under | 52c | 17,715$9,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,211.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c28…80a6backed Under | 52c | 17,483$9,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,091.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf0…bd6dbacked Over | 48c | 17,127$8,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,906.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 15,149$6,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,384.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…a038backed Over | 48c | 14,315$6,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,443.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…85efbacked Under | 52c | 12,318$6,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,405.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…9b83backed Under | 52c | 12,075$6,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,279 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb948…15b9backed Under | 52c | 11,586$6,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,024.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2c1abacked Over | 48c | 10,973$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,705.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0092…97d5backed Over | 48c | 10,774$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…d796backed Over | 48c | 10,681$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,554.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…d898backed Under | 52c | 10,553$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f49…c7eebacked Over | 48c | 10,522$5,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.44 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x316d…c414backed Under | 52c | 10,498$5,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,458.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9477…5cf3backed Over | 48c | 9,529$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…61cebacked Under | 52c | 9,478$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…7a59backed Over | 48c | 9,208$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aee…cd72backed Over | 48c | 9,178$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…7c4dbacked Under | 52c | 8,805$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fb…80e3backed Over | 48c | 8,754$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…8e59backed Over | 48c | 8,445$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,391.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…ab1fbacked Over | 48c | 8,196$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Over | 41c | 8,072$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.58 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…82edbacked Under | 52c | 8,029$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…b66fbacked Under | 52c | 7,080$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 6,927$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…35a6backed Over | 48c | 6,203$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…bbc9backed Over | 48c | 6,083$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…f348backed Over | 48c | 5,917$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b48…11ecbacked Over | 48c | 5,538$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9528…4c16backed Under | 52c | 5,252$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…f58bbacked Over | 48c | 5,248$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…f3c8backed Over | 48c | 5,119$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…45bcbacked Over | 48c | 5,113$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c82…583cbacked Over | 48c | 5,071$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…416dbacked Under | 49c | 5,026$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128b…4b40backed Over | 48c | 5,015$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 42cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…8ac1backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…4c0dbacked Over | 48c | 4,937$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…1f11backed Under | 52c | 4,875$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…77b0backed Under | 52c | 4,817$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…6a10backed Over | 51c | 4,785$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…4a2abacked Under | 52c | 4,747$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…ce68backed Over | 48c | 4,731$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2c…0aa3backed Under | 52c | 4,711$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…04aabacked Under | 49c | 4,630$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…f994backed Under | 52c | 4,622$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…437bbacked Under | 52c | 4,603$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…f044backed Over | 48c | 4,580$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…ca2abacked Over | 51c | 4,576$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…15c5backed Over | 48c | 4,558$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd9…2d5dbacked Under | 52c | 4,465$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41af…99b0backed Over | 48c | 4,433$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…8c3cbacked Under | 52c | 4,425$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…4b94backed Over | 51c | 4,403$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…22f0backed Under | 52c | 4,401$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…bed2backed Under | 49c | 4,376$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…5545backed Over | 48c | 4,367$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31d5…1d26backed Under | 52c | 4,344$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…8029backed Under | 49c | 4,342$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…dd39backed Under | 52c | 4,184$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…0d20backed Under | 49c | 4,123$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea69…0489backed Under | 52c | 4,117$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…3d93backed Under | 52c | 4,079$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef8…f0c0backed Over | 48c | 4,077$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f91…e583backed Under | 52c | 4,063$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…970cbacked Over | 51c | 3,998$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f0…1f09backed Over | 51c | 3,992$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…2ee4backed Under | 52c | 3,990$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…e0c7backed Over | 48c | 3,943$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6c…b8e7backed Over | 51c | 3,901$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…0574backed Under | 52c | 3,773$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…ce73backed Under | 52c | 3,769$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac40…70ccbacked Under | 52c | 3,735$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…7cc5backed Under | 52c | 3,710$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…9e48backed Over | 48c | 3,693$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffeb…c48abacked Under | 52c | 3,660$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…14edbacked Under | 52c | 3,633$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…367bbacked Over | 48c | 3,591$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18f5…8002backed Under | 52c | 3,512$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…0ca9backed Over | 51c | 3,412$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c4…b12bbacked Over | 48c | 3,408$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…b45cbacked Under | 49c | 3,324$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3137…b3a2backed Under | 52c | 3,274$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca6…d765backed Over | 48c | 3,244$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd948…fbd3backed Over | 51c | 3,211$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d3…3e0bbacked Under | 52c | 3,188$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af7…53b5backed Under | 49c | 3,158$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…5310backed Over | 51c | 3,155$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 242.5this page
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-14.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-22.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-23.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Wizards vs. HeatHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.