TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,849 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x266c…60f0backed Yes29c1,113$320 inLost-$320616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No69c766.5$529 inWon+$237.3965762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No72c749.99$540 inWon+$21026069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x901a…6d69backed Yes29c686.17$200 inLost-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Yes3c500$14 inLost-$1460%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Yes3c500$14 inLost-$14250%0 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No67c475$317 inWon+$157.914,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No63c388.19$245 inWon+$143.6320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9156backed Yes37c322.4$120 inLost-$119.761637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes39c313$123 inLost-$123666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No61c290.39$178 inWon+$112.551,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29db…ae12backed Yes37c288$106 inLost-$106.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed No70c250$175 inWon+$756361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes38c216.07$83 inLost-$82.791,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eb8…0ce8backed Yes30c159.07$48 inLost-$47.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes34c145.05$50 inLost-$49.613,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb831…d9dabacked Yes30c75.7$23 inLost-$22.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No56c75$42 inWon+$32.8722774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No62c56$35 inWon+$21.2895260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No61c53.47$33 inWon+$20.8597049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No71c40$28 inWon+$11.690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No62c32.5$20 inWon+$12.4883158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No62c32.33$20 inWon+$12.1892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked No78c32.05$25 inWon+$7.0530055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No73c30$22 inWon+$8.11,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81c9…4a47backed Yes44c25$11 inLost-$112842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.