NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ff81b4299b6eb3b83549f81fb95e88b9fc84734c8be42be3c71c61149720ac5

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Wizards, Heat
Resolved: Mar 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $937,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937,158 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5523…51e9backed Wizards	10c	50,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	10c	48,851$4,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,835.15	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Wizards	10c	40,010$4,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000.99	374	48.7%182 W · 192 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards	10c	39,215$3,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,921.5	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Wizards	10c	36,784$3,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,781.65	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards	10c	36,363$3,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,606.36	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	11c	29,965$3,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,275.61	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Wizards	9c	26,839$2,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,415.49	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards	9c	26,240$2,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,434.72	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Wizards	11c	22,600$2,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,486	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Wizards	11c	22,362$2,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,459.77	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	9c	21,607$1,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,944.14	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards	3c	17,080$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.11	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Wizards	9c	17,012$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.88	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards	7c	15,699$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.1	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards	10c	14,913$1,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,491.26	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Wizards	11c	14,800$1,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,628	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards	10c	14,474$1,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,446.46	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	11c	11,008$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,221.25	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards	11c	10,001$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Wizards	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.91	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Wizards	9c	10,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.99	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Wizards	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.99	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	7c	9,868$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.35	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Wizards	11c	9,352$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,028.68	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards	1c	9,213$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.22	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	2c	8,184$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.33	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Wizards	11c	7,190$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.6	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wizards	9c	7,163$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.63	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards	9c	7,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	1c	6,780$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.74	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards	7c	6,592$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.04	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Wizards	10c	5,819$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.9	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Wizards	11c	5,694$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.34	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Wizards	9c	5,580$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.2	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards	9c	5,381$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.55	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	10c	5,050$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Wizards	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x184f…389ebacked Wizards	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.99	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	43cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cea…2c92backed Wizards	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	4,964$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	9c	4,709$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.67	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Wizards	10c	4,700$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	9c	4,365$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.83	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Wizards	1c	4,000$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	123	4.9%6 W · 117 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	10c	3,651$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.43	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Wizards	8c	3,361$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.97	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	10c	3,106$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.37	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Wizards	11c	3,100$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Wizards	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.62	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Wizards	11c	2,914$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.54	233	48.1%112 W · 121 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards	11c	2,851$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.57	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91eb…9325backed Wizards	11c	2,800$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards	11c	2,799$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.86	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Wizards	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards	11c	2,500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Wizards	10c	2,500$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.71	355	31.8%113 W · 242 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	13c	2,334$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.39	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards	3c	2,280$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.81	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Wizards	9c	2,205$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.48	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Wizards	11c	2,166$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.26	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	48cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc573…9ac4backed Wizards	14c	2,113$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.76	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf22…062ebacked Wizards	11c	2,036$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.96	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ae…a5e8backed Wizards	14c	2,027$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.36	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Wizards	11c	2,010$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.95	301	46.2%139 W · 162 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b0…48f3backed Wizards	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Wizards	2c	2,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards	1c	1,957$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe55d…2335backed Wizards	2c	1,820$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Wizards	9c	1,800$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	226	37.2%84 W · 142 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd326…9b29backed Wizards	1c	1,639$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards	10c	1,610$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.97	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Wizards	1c	1,553$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Wizards	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	2c	1,474$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.63	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd59f…f554backed Wizards	27c	1,465$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.24	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wizards	11c	1,353$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.17	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Wizards	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Wizards	10c	1,208$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.76	248	41.1%102 W · 146 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…e23ebacked Wizards	11c	1,200$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.72	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Wizards	11c	1,185$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	128	55.5%71 W · 57 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Wizards	11c	1,166$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.22	426	45.5%194 W · 232 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Wizards	9c	1,145$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.97	368	43.8%161 W · 207 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Wizards	10c	1,115$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.36	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Wizards	10c	1,100$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	232	56.9%132 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Wizards	10c	1,037$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.7	699	29.8%208 W · 491 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Wizards	10c	1,005$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Wizards	8c	1,000$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.4	553	16.5%91 W · 462 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Wizards	11c	1,000$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	183	36.6%67 W · 116 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wizards	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	197	35%69 W · 128 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards	10c	1,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.42	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2090…7584backed Wizards	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.8	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe942…f7adbacked Wizards	11c	963$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.93	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Wizards	11c	918.63$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.92	175	32%56 W · 119 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4e…4439backed Wizards	11c	876$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.36	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Wizards	2c	807.05$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.55	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+51.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb6…2a92backed Wizards	11c	800$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.74	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event