NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 237.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x280572245cc9f555def92782cd97d8e8de9a3cd639fbbc5a58272655748974fe

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $466,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,420 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	51c	317,081$161,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155,384.56	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under	49c	150,000$73,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,499.96	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	49c	76,008$37,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,468.78	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	64,842$31,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,772.45	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Under	53c	23,807$12,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,599.26	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over	50c	15,989$7,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,062.93	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over	49c	13,000$6,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,629.99	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	47c	8,174$3,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,332.1	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under	53c	7,000$3,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,710	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	50c	4,869$2,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,415.31	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	4,378$2,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,259.4	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under	51c	3,500$1,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under	49c	3,368$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650.47	135	63%85 W · 50 L	+15.6wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under	49c	3,333$1,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633.17	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	48c	2,921$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,521.87	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	49c	2,584$1,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,278.81	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	47c	2,527$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,326.81	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	50c	1,683$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.5	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	49c	1,633$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.24	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Under	53c	1,591$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under	50c	1,334$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under	49c	1,050$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.5	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under	49c	600$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under	52c	596$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.92	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under	51c	589.39$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under	50c	586.39$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.72	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under	50c	567.2$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.6	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over	49c	518.86$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.1	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c0…5930backed Over	50c	483.16$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.04	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	50c	468.06$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.76	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	50c	456.01$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.96	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over	48c	399.99$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	161	48.4%78 W · 83 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under	54c	399.18$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.56	163	38.7%63 W · 100 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under	50c	390.97$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.84	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e37…cfbdbacked Over	51c	385.79$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.04	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	49c	364.45$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.57	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under	51c	319.82$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under	49c	300$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under	51c	290.11$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	180	55%99 W · 81 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Under	50c	284.98$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.49	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under	50c	269.74$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	478	52.9%253 W · 225 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	50c	235.64$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.71	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under	50c	224.99$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	267	56.2%150 W · 117 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe63d…0545backed Under	50c	222.74$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.57	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	51c	203.83$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.94	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	197.8$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.92	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over	49c	196$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.1	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	126	61.1%77 W · 49 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca9…d946backed Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under	51c	187.65$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under	50c	174.43$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Under	50c	172.64$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	106	56.6%60 W · 46 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed Under	54c	172.03$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.9	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under	53c	168.15$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.9	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under	51c	166.08$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	137	51.1%70 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	51c	164$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.36	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under	50c	149.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.13	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under	50c	146.72$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.49	217	53%115 W · 102 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f9e3backed Under	50c	146.6$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.43	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	50c	145.25$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.24	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Under	50c	143.44$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.85	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Under	50c	139.47$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.87	72	56.9%41 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under	50c	132.26$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.25	182	50%91 W · 91 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Under	46c	113.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.43	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Under	50c	111.58$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.89	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under	50c	109.72$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.99	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9794…32c9backed Under	49c	101.18$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Over	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	232	49.6%115 W · 117 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa839…6f8cbacked Under	49c	97.1$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over	52c	96.68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.68	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a6…f2e3backed Under	49c	93.84$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.98	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8b…8925backed Under	49c	93.22$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.68	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5079…0f50backed Under	50c	90$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	45c	88.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.91	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under	55c	88.92$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.91	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over	54c	81.8$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.63	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Under	50c	78.42$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.21	251	53.8%135 W · 116 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under	50c	77.18$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.66	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f5…5c6cbacked Under	50c	75.35$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.74	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under	51c	69.07$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	219	48.9%107 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Under	50c	65.39$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.82	149	51.7%77 W · 72 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over	50c	65.34$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.49	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Under	50c	58.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	104	52.9%55 W · 49 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under	53c	50.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.59	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed50…51adbacked Under	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+4.3wins	+0.20per pick	49cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	635	55.6%353 W · 282 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…0e74backed Under	50c	49.9$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66cc…c578backed Under	50c	49.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	49c	49.45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.19	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Over	51c	47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.03	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 237.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event