NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x155be803d77781ec406f2b298b6e122950e77c16456e14b344a2b0564cc71ccc

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Wizards
Resolved: Mar 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $330,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,899 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Heat	49c	150,000$73,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76,499.99	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Wizards	52c	135,565$69,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,964.14	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards	51c	34,954$17,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,675.07	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Wizards	50c	27,508$13,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,753.81	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat	48c	23,264$11,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,995.32	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Wizards	52c	17,251$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Heat	47c	14,864$7,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,819.08	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	48c	14,731$7,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,660.16	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Wizards	53c	9,997$5,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,298.15	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	47c	9,169$4,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,819.12	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Wizards	53c	9,000$4,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,770	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Wizards	52c	7,690$3,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,998.72	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Wizards	51c	7,676$3,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,914.56	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450.3	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3b…a380backed Wizards	52c	4,789$2,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,490	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Wizards	49c	4,660$2,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,283.23	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Heat	47c	4,083$1,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,156.85	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Wizards	52c	3,979$2,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,068.93	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Heat	48c	3,564$1,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,836.69	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Wizards	53c	3,396$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Heat	50c	3,260$1,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,630	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	57c	3,134$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,334.36	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat	49c	3,100$1,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,593.01	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Wizards	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	51c	2,748$1,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,346.72	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	49c	2,703$1,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.85	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat	48c	2,475$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274.83	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97d3…8acebacked Wizards	52c	2,409$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat	68c	2,253$1,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$716.33	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Heat	47c	2,187$1,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,159.23	173	44.5%77 W · 96 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Wizards	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat	48c	1,720$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.16	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Wizards	50c	1,458$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.8	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Wizards	51c	1,456$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.56	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards	34c	1,197$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.63	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Wizards	52c	1,162$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Heat	48c	1,134$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.67	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Heat	48c	1,082$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.64	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Heat	48c	1,000$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Heat	48c	985.4$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.79	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Heat	48c	923$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.96	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Wizards	50c	800.53$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	251	55%138 W · 113 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	47c	715.77$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.36	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Wizards	52c	384.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.68	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Wizards	50c	300.6$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	190	54.7%104 W · 86 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Wizards	52c	293.57$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.42	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Heat	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Heat	58c	206.14$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.15	125	40%50 W · 75 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Wizards	50c	179.67$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.42	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Wizards	50c	150.3$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Heat	51c	150$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.65	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Wizards	52c	150$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Wizards	50c	141.59$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.75	140	53.6%75 W · 65 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Wizards	50c	139.78$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.87	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Heat	59c	138.32$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.16	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Wizards	53c	132.32$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Heat	52c	105.03$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.41	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Wizards	50c	104$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.9	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Wizards	53c	103.97$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Wizards	53c	100.16$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	427	40.3%172 W · 255 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9565…93efbacked Wizards	50c	99.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.75	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat	60c	88.13$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.53	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Wizards	50c	83.03$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	236	55.5%131 W · 105 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Heat	47c	73.2$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.8	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards	46c	68.52$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.52	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Heat	47c	66.86$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.44	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Heat	59c	66.42$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.07	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Heat	55c	65$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heat	46c	61.49$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.2	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Heat	48c	60.44$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.34	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Wizards	50c	60.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	258	55.8%144 W · 114 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Heat	47c	57.7$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.58	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Wizards	26c	57.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Heat	50c	53.73$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.89	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Heat	59c	50.64$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.69	256	55.5%142 W · 114 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cec…a0abbacked Wizards	50c	50.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Wizards	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Wizards	50c	47.89$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	229	53.3%122 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Wizards	50c	45.68$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.83	304	53.3%162 W · 142 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wizards	40c	45.59$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Heat	50c	42$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	342	48.8%167 W · 175 L	+12.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Heat	48c	41.66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.66	128	41.4%53 W · 75 L	-7.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Wizards	53c	37.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	278	54.7%152 W · 126 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Heat	48c	35.88$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.66	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Wizards	52c	34.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a5…7759backed Heat	49c	31.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.02	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Wizards	52c	29.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Heat	55c	27.47$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.28	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Heat	48c	26.02$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Wizards	50c	25.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	313	54.6%171 W · 142 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat	62c	23.95$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.98	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Heat	59c	22.3$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.11	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Heat	61c	21.1$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.3	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc018…c37abacked Heat	60c	20.8$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.37	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x350e…7528backed Heat	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	86	36%31 W · 55 L	-11.0wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Wizards	53c	18.87$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event