NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf972527f5005707c09362aff80e43ff7ea5f32e5cb7951d3029ec9dc4a36a1d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 53c | 115,454$61,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,263.35 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Wizards | 46c | 64,517$29,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,851.92 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards | 49c | 59,062$29,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,130.74 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wizards | 47c | 51,030$23,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,984.02 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wizards | 49c | 37,891$18,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,566.48 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Heat | 51c | 34,093$17,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,705.78 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Heat | 54c | 31,511$17,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,495.26 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Wizards | 47c | 30,144$14,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,166.84 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 51c | 25,109$12,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,293.89 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Wizards | 47c | 24,409$11,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,472.02 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Wizards | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Heat | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200.03 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Wizards | 48c | 19,350$9,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,383.88 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 51c | 16,525$8,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,097.3 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 51c | 11,177$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 53c | 10,496$5,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Heat | 50c | 10,100$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.38 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Heat | 51c | 9,073$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.73 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Heat | 54c | 8,333$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.33 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Wizards | 46c | 7,878$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.88 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Wizards | 46c | 5,610$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.6 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 47c | 5,501$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Heat | 51c | 5,233$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.27 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…3965backed Heat | 50c | 4,699$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…d63bbacked Heat | 50c | 4,485$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Wizards | 49c | 4,225$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc06…da53backed Heat | 50c | 4,153$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab2…462bbacked Heat | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…a0d8backed Heat | 50c | 4,077$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…343bbacked Heat | 50c | 4,063$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Heat | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Heat | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Heat | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.29 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Wizards | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…5719backed Heat | 50c | 3,815$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked Heat | 51c | 3,762$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 51c | 3,605$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.21 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 67c | 3,586$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b9…f4cabacked Wizards | 50c | 3,522$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464d…753abacked Heat | 50c | 3,482$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…44c8backed Wizards | 50c | 3,465$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f46…909cbacked Heat | 50c | 3,422$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…7214backed Heat | 50c | 3,402$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 32c | 3,392$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.49 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0827…bfa1backed Heat | 50c | 3,211$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48b…8c3cbacked Heat | 50c | 3,085$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…5b6dbacked Heat | 50c | 3,084$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 47c | 3,040$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Heat | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 51c | 2,934$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.49 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…362cbacked Wizards | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…ddb2backed Heat | 50c | 2,880$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…69b0backed Heat | 50c | 2,788$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Heat | 51c | 2,550$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.5 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 47c | 2,477$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…3ceebacked Heat | 50c | 2,466$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb041…1f4dbacked Wizards | 50c | 2,412$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0723…2f2abacked Wizards | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Wizards | 46c | 2,391$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Heat | 52c | 2,311$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.28 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…1a91backed Wizards | 50c | 2,281$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…1bd7backed Wizards | 50c | 2,272$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…d2c0backed Wizards | 50c | 2,251$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f8…8490backed Wizards | 50c | 2,244$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…e687backed Wizards | 50c | 2,212$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4405…5203backed Wizards | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…0c92backed Heat | 50c | 2,164$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1283…c3bdbacked Heat | 50c | 2,137$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…9e0abacked Wizards | 50c | 2,137$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…9ca6backed Wizards | 50c | 2,129$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20db…fc96backed Heat | 50c | 2,093$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9252…e38abacked Heat | 50c | 2,088$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004f…b2c9backed Wizards | 50c | 2,088$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973c…62a9backed Wizards | 50c | 2,088$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d59…24e5backed Wizards | 50c | 2,077$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Wizards | 52c | 2,055$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.63 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9922…036fbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,926$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…f174backed Wizards | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…a614backed Wizards | 50c | 1,899$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41b…533abacked Wizards | 50c | 1,855$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…10a4backed Wizards | 50c | 1,806$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…e63ebacked Wizards | 50c | 1,718$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Heat | 53c | 1,694$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.51 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5868…8c94backed Wizards | 50c | 1,663$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…bb62backed Wizards | 50c | 1,644$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…e1bfbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,616$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Heat | 50c | 1,550$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…a491backed Wizards | 50c | 1,536$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Wizards | 47c | 1,530$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.1 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Wizards | 47c | 1,530$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.1 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…67bdbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,511$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…c7ecbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,509$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c75…ede8backed Wizards | 50c | 1,505$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…920ebacked Wizards | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…02abbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…506fbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,452$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…fa5fbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,428$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)this page
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-14.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-22.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-23.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Wizards vs. HeatHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.