NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x120bd616a0d32d05ea5a945ec7432126b4fa694e5342c7579e97b54193882aba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,923 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 56c | 21,179$11,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,791.23 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 44c | 10,866$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,084.93 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 8,852$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 7,133$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 48c | 6,752$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.32 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 45c | 5,727$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.35 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b4…6508backed Over | 53c | 4,322$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…c558backed Over | 53c | 4,313$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…afe2backed Over | 53c | 3,631$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937d…814abacked Over | 53c | 3,566$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 51c | 2,921$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.67 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…5867backed Under | 47c | 2,888$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…5910backed Under | 47c | 2,855$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…8f7abacked Over | 53c | 2,717$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…bc01backed Under | 47c | 2,654$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…1f5abacked Over | 53c | 2,621$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…622dbacked Under | 47c | 2,565$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…2ae4backed Under | 47c | 2,515$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,502$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…f5b5backed Under | 47c | 2,488$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8dc…e30ebacked Under | 47c | 2,485$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…72d7backed Under | 47c | 2,466$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…d28abacked Under | 47c | 2,458$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d6b9backed Under | 47c | 2,290$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5009…5f35backed Over | 53c | 2,236$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…2a28backed Under | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…a29bbacked Under | 47c | 2,121$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…8583backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…a392backed Over | 53c | 1,990$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d0…a84abacked Under | 47c | 1,906$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 48c | 1,784$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.88 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e57…49b9backed Over | 53c | 1,774$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…6359backed Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…108ebacked Under | 47c | 1,688$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 56c | 1,663$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…4a10backed Under | 47c | 1,399$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cea…b46abacked Under | 47c | 1,387$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…71dfbacked Over | 53c | 1,355$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…37b3backed Over | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…4a9cbacked Over | 53c | 1,247$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd948…fbd3backed Over | 53c | 1,236$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…043cbacked Over | 53c | 1,211$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…5aa9backed Over | 53c | 1,211$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 44c | 1,169$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.21 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…b45cbacked Over | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…81f4backed Over | 53c | 1,123$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 1,053$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 45c | 1,051$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.05 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86f…da81backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…3b8abacked Under | 47c | 899$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 843$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 52c | 836.19$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.82 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 825.11$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 49c | 805.84$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.86 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 742$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.77 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 613.28$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 549$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.33 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 53c | 548$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 57c | 538.6$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 51c | 509.87$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.42 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 60c | 500.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Under | 59c | 499.35$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 478.45$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 46c | 398.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 48c | 396.52$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 381.19$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 42c | 340$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over | 42c | 316.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.67 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Over | 52c | 304.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.18 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Over | 41c | 256.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 58c | 242.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Over | 41c | 242.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 50c | 237.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 45c | 209.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 48c | 195.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 144.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 116.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 54c | 101.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Over | 49c | 100.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 97.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 96.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 53c | 94.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 88.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 58c | 84.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 82.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 54c | 81.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over | 38c | 78.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 63c | 73.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 60.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 241.5this page
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-14.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-22.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-23.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Wizards vs. HeatHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.