TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 243.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,602 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under59c8,094$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,794.121,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f7e…ddd1backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f39…3b8abacked Under52c3,756$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over41c3,368$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c3,294$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.044,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4862…e1f0backed Under52c2,536$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8730…078cbacked Over48c2,528$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0463…2ae4backed Over48c2,525$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ca…72d7backed Over48c2,414$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9252…e38abacked Over48c2,398$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5a…8583backed Over48c2,366$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4405…5203backed Over48c2,356$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa08…d6b9backed Over48c2,333$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a5…a29bbacked Under52c2,303$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1560…16fabacked Over48c2,204$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe58e…7f0ebacked Under52c2,156$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434d…dff9backed Under52c2,088$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…c973backed Under52c2,052$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x712d…ff3fbacked Over48c2,048$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90d0…a84abacked Over48c2,011$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a1c…6165backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20021049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc6…eadfbacked Under52c1,955$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d3…6359backed Over48c1,899$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60f…8650backed Over48c1,821$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda82…043cbacked Over48c1,800$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…108ebacked Over48c1,788$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…2233backed Over48c1,758$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb4…920ebacked Over48c1,755$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under54c1,747$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.5221250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over46c1,732$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.7358347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf085…19cbbacked Over48c1,655$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cea…b46abacked Under52c1,642$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc504…4a10backed Under52c1,606$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x169a…d6c3backed Under52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b3…3857backed Under52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…6130backed Over48c1,450$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5009…5f35backed Under52c1,122$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55dc…9e0abacked Under52c1,122$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe531…2a28backed Under52c1,111$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a0…44c8backed Under52c1,102$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e86…d28abacked Under52c1,077$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d4…5910backed Under52c1,075$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b9…f4cabacked Under52c1,066$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c1,057$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d8c…362cbacked Under52c1,056$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac93…ddb2backed Under52c1,041$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x937d…814abacked Under52c1,025$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c5…3ceebacked Under52c1,023$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e8…e45dbacked Under52c1,022$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8dc…e30ebacked Under52c1,011$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54db…1f5abacked Under52c999$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…69b0backed Under52c999$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c927.97$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c837.53$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.011,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over41c781.64$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.591,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Over45c769.2$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.939051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfab2…462bbacked Under52c755$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over36c599.24$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.673,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under54c556.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over45c490.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.420741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e57…49b9backed Under52c433$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over44c422.23$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb8e…962bbacked Under51c384.66$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.711855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over61c327.96$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under52c306.92$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.624247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under60c305.15$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.212,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over44c303.75$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6851438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over46c286.16$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.782,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Under54c245.18$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.977439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under56c218.17$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…afe2backed Under52c211$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b4…6508backed Over48c206$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9c2…c558backed Over48c178$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c160.3$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.123,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over54c159.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over42c157.48$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9723348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9633258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2119…8f7abacked Under52c149$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Under53c148.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.976058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over35c146.84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.682,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over41c125.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.371,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over37c112.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.495,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Over43c104.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7721349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under52c104.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.21,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over41c95.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.123,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under44c94.62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c83.87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.252,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under62c81.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.554951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under64c78.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over47c66.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.463,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under56c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under65c61.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under58c58.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0914471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Under62c53.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2913441.8%56 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over38c53.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0319950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fa…d338backed Under54c50.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275044%22 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under60c48.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2283158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.