NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a70a8765a8300619994a31ba08cf8a265a97bc9deafdbd94d4f6d20529d72a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,602 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 59c | 8,094$4,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.12 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7e…ddd1backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…3b8abacked Under | 52c | 3,756$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 41c | 3,368$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 3,294$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.04 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…e1f0backed Under | 52c | 2,536$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8730…078cbacked Over | 48c | 2,528$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…2ae4backed Over | 48c | 2,525$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…72d7backed Over | 48c | 2,414$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9252…e38abacked Over | 48c | 2,398$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…8583backed Over | 48c | 2,366$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4405…5203backed Over | 48c | 2,356$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d6b9backed Over | 48c | 2,333$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…a29bbacked Under | 52c | 2,303$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1560…16fabacked Over | 48c | 2,204$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…7f0ebacked Under | 52c | 2,156$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…dff9backed Under | 52c | 2,088$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…c973backed Under | 52c | 2,052$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…ff3fbacked Over | 48c | 2,048$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d0…a84abacked Over | 48c | 2,011$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…6165backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…eadfbacked Under | 52c | 1,955$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…6359backed Over | 48c | 1,899$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60f…8650backed Over | 48c | 1,821$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…043cbacked Over | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…108ebacked Over | 48c | 1,788$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…2233backed Over | 48c | 1,758$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…920ebacked Over | 48c | 1,755$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 54c | 1,747$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.52 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 46c | 1,732$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.73 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…19cbbacked Over | 48c | 1,655$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cea…b46abacked Under | 52c | 1,642$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…4a10backed Under | 52c | 1,606$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…d6c3backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…3857backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…6130backed Over | 48c | 1,450$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5009…5f35backed Under | 52c | 1,122$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…9e0abacked Under | 52c | 1,122$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…2a28backed Under | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…44c8backed Under | 52c | 1,102$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…d28abacked Under | 52c | 1,077$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…5910backed Under | 52c | 1,075$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b9…f4cabacked Under | 52c | 1,066$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 1,057$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…362cbacked Under | 52c | 1,056$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…ddb2backed Under | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937d…814abacked Under | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…3ceebacked Under | 52c | 1,023$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e8…e45dbacked Under | 52c | 1,022$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8dc…e30ebacked Under | 52c | 1,011$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…1f5abacked Under | 52c | 999$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…69b0backed Under | 52c | 999$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 927.97$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 837.53$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.01 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 41c | 781.64$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.59 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Over | 45c | 769.2$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.93 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab2…462bbacked Under | 52c | 755$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 36c | 599.24$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 54c | 556.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 45c | 490.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.4 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e57…49b9backed Under | 52c | 433$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 44c | 422.23$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Under | 51c | 384.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 61c | 327.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 52c | 306.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 60c | 305.15$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 44c | 303.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.68 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 46c | 286.16$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 54c | 245.18$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 56c | 218.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…afe2backed Under | 52c | 211$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b4…6508backed Over | 48c | 206$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…c558backed Over | 48c | 178$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 160.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 54c | 159.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 42c | 157.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.97 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…8f7abacked Under | 52c | 149$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Under | 53c | 148.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 35c | 146.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 41c | 125.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 37c | 112.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Over | 43c | 104.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 104.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 95.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 44c | 94.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 83.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 62c | 81.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 66.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under | 65c | 61.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under | 58c | 58.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Under | 62c | 53.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fa…d338backed Under | 54c | 50.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 60c | 48.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 243.5this page
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-14.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-22.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-23.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Wizards vs. HeatHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.