South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ed207d685fba73c50229bbaa0e6861e4d7707373df5c1b73dc062958e5cb0eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,703 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 1c | 5,894$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 5,317$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.8 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 15c | 4,564$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.38 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 4,245$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 31c | 1,555$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.12 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 26c | 1,411$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 1,241$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.84 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 869.86$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.99 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 70c | 639$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.64 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 30c | 521.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 63c | 473.05$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.82 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 68c | 370$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 30c | 306.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 293.44$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 69c | 289.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 274.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…1683backed Yes | 69c | 272.77$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 71c | 263.08$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 69c | 256.13$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 29c | 213.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 30c | 191.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked No | 29c | 182.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…3dc8backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 69c | 162.65$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…7432backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…fb4abacked Yes | 66c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 135$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 58c | 118.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 65c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…71efbacked Yes | 73c | 108.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 43c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Yes | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…a10bbacked No | 36c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 31c | 78.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…8080backed Yes | 58c | 77.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 33c | 74.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Yes | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…332bbacked Yes | 71c | 70.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 70c | 70.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 28c | 67.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 62.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 31c | 62.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 42c | 60.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Yes | 69c | 57.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes | 67c | 55.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 71c | 54.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 68c | 50.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed No | 37c | 50.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…c9efbacked Yes | 71c | 43.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 70c | 42.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 63c | 41.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 30c | 37.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 34c | 36.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…9e49backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…6fe4backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…8f4fbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Yes | 69c | 32.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed No | 44c | 30.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 44c | 29.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked Yes | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 79c | 24.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…f701backed Yes | 70c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 69c | 18.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 68c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.