Tennis · resolved market
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd052ba61f762be9fdc4872cbd5f22748ed7ecc5ef64663d33d5e0e02039ac09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Molcanof Alex Molcan, Alexander Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $724,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $739,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Alexander Bublik | 0c | 224,400$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.17 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Alexander Bublik | 57c | 54,848$31,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,175.84 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Molcan | 53c | 41,349$21,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,597.15 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Alexander Bublik | 14c | 21,376$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.73 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Alexander Bublik | 16c | 20,346$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.31 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Alexander Bublik | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.97 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Alexander Bublik | 24c | 9,545$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.48 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alex Molcan | 27c | 8,850$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.23 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alex Molcan | 37c | 8,444$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,317.62 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alex Molcan | 78c | 7,795$6,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.75 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alexander Bublik | 36c | 7,327$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.55 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Molcan | 78c | 6,857$5,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.96 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Alexander Bublik | 58c | 6,657$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.77 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Alexander Bublik | 77c | 6,497$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.81 | 442 | 63.6%281 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Alexander Bublik | 49c | 5,935$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.2 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…c370backed Alexander Bublik | 56c | 5,582$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Alex Molcan | 26c | 5,403$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.17 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Alex Molcan | 56c | 5,216$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.91 | 607 | 53.7%326 W · 281 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Alexander Bublik | 7c | 5,101$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.91 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Alexander Bublik | 74c | 4,922$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.28 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alex Molcan | 49c | 4,240$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.88 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Alexander Bublik | 47c | 3,971$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.56 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alex Molcan | 38c | 3,760$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.79 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Alex Molcan | 46c | 3,271$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alexander Bublik | 24c | 3,142$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.51 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Alexander Bublik | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Alex Molcan | 55c | 2,842$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.2 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…3aebbacked Alex Molcan | 43c | 2,833$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex Molcan | 34c | 2,533$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.39 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Alex Molcan | 42c | 2,404$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.71 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Alexander Bublik | 73c | 2,129$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Alexander Bublik | 57c | 2,093$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.11 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Alexander Bublik | 75c | 2,023$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Alex Molcan | 51c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 465 | 44.3%206 W · 259 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Alex Molcan | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Alex Molcan | 49c | 1,919$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.9 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Alexander Bublik | 20c | 1,912$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.78 | 444 | 29.7%132 W · 312 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Alexander Bublik | 28c | 1,855$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.1 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Alex Molcan | 30c | 1,772$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.39 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Alex Molcan | 27c | 1,612$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.12 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Alexander Bublik | 1c | 1,546$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…57d7backed Alexander Bublik | 5c | 1,545$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alexander Bublik | 56c | 1,463$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.38 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…3ee4backed Alex Molcan | 70c | 1,403$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Molcan | 51c | 1,395$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.46 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Alexander Bublik | 53c | 1,053$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.52 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Alex Molcan | 70c | 1,047$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…2749backed Alex Molcan | 27c | 1,010$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Alexander Bublik | 28c | 1,010$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.11 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Alex Molcan | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Alexander Bublik | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Alex Molcan | 26c | 999.73$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.8 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alexander Bublik | 41c | 958.8$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.1 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Molcan | 48c | 895.02$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.81 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Alexander Bublik | 71c | 889.61$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 497 | 40.6%202 W · 295 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Alexander Bublik | 35c | 881.7$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.87 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alexander Bublik | 11c | 877.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Alex Molcan | 56c | 859.84$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.28 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alexander Bublik | 29c | 849.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alexander Bublik | 52c | 848.71$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.69 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Alexander Bublik | 47c | 824.1$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.28 | 1,030 | 50%515 W · 515 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Alexander Bublik | 35c | 820.93$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 707 | 52.8%373 W · 334 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Alexander Bublik | 60c | 800.06$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…40c4backed Alexander Bublik | 64c | 767.39$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.38 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Alexander Bublik | 64c | 764.38$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.2 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Alexander Bublik | 74c | 747.81$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Alexander Bublik | 66c | 743.38$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.77 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Alex Molcan | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.06 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Alex Molcan | 26c | 699.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.99 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Alexander Bublik | 67c | 699.95$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.97 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Alex Molcan | 27c | 690.21$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.86 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Alexander Bublik | 73c | 682.51$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.23 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Alexander Bublik | 44c | 654.86$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Alexander Bublik | 69c | 640.04$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.63 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Alexander Bublik | 74c | 639.86$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.5 | 369 | 61.8%228 W · 141 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Alex Molcan | 45c | 601.69$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.93 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Alexander Bublik | 73c | 600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Alex Molcan | 71c | 527.48$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Alex Molcan | 49c | 525.75$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.46 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Alex Molcan | 49c | 525.75$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.46 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alexander Bublik | 3c | 523.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Alexander Bublik | 76c | 518.74$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.24 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Alexander Bublik | 76c | 516.14$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.27 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alex Molcan | 27c | 504.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.73 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Alexander Bublik | 52c | 500.24$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Alex Molcan | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Alexander Bublik | 17c | 491.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alexander Bublik | 47c | 475.29$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.46 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Molcan | 34c | 454.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.96 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Alex Molcan | 27c | 453.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.67 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Alex Molcan | 55c | 452.21$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed Alexander Bublik | 43c | 447.69$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.18 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Alexander Bublik | 64c | 435.22$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.9 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Alex Molcan | 55c | 426.57$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.68 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Alex Molcan | 29c | 414.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.56 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Alexander Bublik | 73c | 411.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…e514backed Alex Molcan | 27c | 409.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.63 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alex Molcan | 52c | 408.74$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Alexander Bublik | 60c | 406.76$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Alexander Bublik | 74c | 399.08$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.32 | 282 | 62.4%176 W · 106 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikthis page
- Alex Molcan vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Molcan vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Molcan vs BublikMolcan won
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Molcan (+1.5)Molcan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.