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Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,995,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,271,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,995,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,600 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a6d…340fbacked Yes68c3,696,321$2,528,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,528,996.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d9…305ebacked Yes69c3,599,412$2,499,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499,812.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No32c1,947,312$618,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328,621.5815344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No31c1,416,917$443,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973,810.2513748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No31c1,100,000$336,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763,399.633946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No31c432,712$132,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299,999.862857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No35c360,528$125,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235,319.4320140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Yes68c294,482$199,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199,112.041533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed No30c275,000$83,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,7502166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No31c237,940$73,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,3832657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No31c232,400$72,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160,0647542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No38c201,196$76,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,990.32,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No32c181,562$58,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,52310455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No34c169,999$57,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,199.4218950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes66c162,848$107,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,4806857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No32c160,986$52,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,959.6951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No39c154,319$59,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,504.9716848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes66c150,985$99,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,649.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No32c145,657$47,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,381.579141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No32c120,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,999.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c118,700$40,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,119.026,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No34c110,000$37,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,599.963450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No34c102,537$34,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,905.5312847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes67c97,910$65,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,597.0721253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No32c91,850$29,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,279.3610057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No33c90,000$29,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,291.8531944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No33c89,978$29,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,603.713050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes66c84,421$55,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,718.072030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No31c78,737$24,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,525.862,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes66c76,000$50,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,1602638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No34c75,286$25,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,710.8124146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No34c75,000$25,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,499.8324846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes68c73,235$49,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,80011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Yes66c70,000$46,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,2003461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No32c58,599$18,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,899.221,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes66c53,766$35,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,477.351,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No34c53,000$18,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,879.824748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No30c50,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,00011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Yes66c48,530$32,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,029.882286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No31c48,401$15,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,385.396550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes68c44,118$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0001361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No30c43,500$13,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,4501361.5%8 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick31cpaid+82.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No31c43,265$13,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,775.0985748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes67c41,960$27,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,983.4428242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No38c41,709$15,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,859.586142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No30c40,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,0004040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes58c38,979$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,50017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes66c32,248$21,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,284.130143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No34c32,000$10,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,10015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No35c31,974$11,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,942.9310335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No32c31,527$10,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,438.365455.6%30 W · 24 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No31c30,119$9,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,782.443246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No31c30,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,799.9717745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No33c27,732$9,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,485.173060%18 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No35c27,050$9,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,582.481553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No35c26,033$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,032.889350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes67c25,877$17,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,438.5227235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No34c24,320$8,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,051.193148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No35c22,487$7,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,616.429856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No34c22,192$7,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,646.723759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes68c21,934$14,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,899.6510246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked No33c21,000$6,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,047.094050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c21,000$7,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,859.7710236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes67c20,734$13,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,892.0819253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes66c20,701$13,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,662.418948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No32c20,392$6,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,866.567750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No30c20,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,0006240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d7…0501backed No31c20,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,800450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No34c18,627$6,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,293.955337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No36c17,576$6,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,285.1720758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe165…f32ebacked No31c16,500$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,385250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No31c16,129$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,129.035655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes64c15,632$10,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,004.514450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes65c15,385$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c14,269$8,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,791.152,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No34c14,010$4,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,276.915944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No32c13,720$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,364.915939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No35c13,269$4,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,625.051861.1%11 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+62.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c12,547$7,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,116.534,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1993…0c02backed Yes66c12,491$8,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,244.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes68c12,000$8,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1408939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No34c12,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,939.994944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No32c11,820$3,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,978.877653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No48c11,732$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,131.561,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No32c11,649$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,918.111,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes61c11,396$6,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,951.851241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes45c11,360$5,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,151.9625225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No33c11,259$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,518.5716050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…3d31backed Yes66c11,000$7,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,26010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes69c10,781$7,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,475.367147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No35c10,226$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,646.715050%25 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No34c10,037$3,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,624.147035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No35c10,010$3,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,506.492147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4001060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Yes68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,800450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No31c10,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,90037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No31c10,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9004148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Yes58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes65c9,997$6,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,497.891833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.