TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$865,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,060,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $865,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes19c174,630$33,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,179.6215344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No80c121,924$97,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,384.7613748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes21c76,000$15,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,9602638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes20c50,100$10,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0208146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes20c50,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c43,280$34,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,827.651,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c26,990$21,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,526.362,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c10,902$8,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.576,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes20c8,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6006248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes21c6,482$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.2230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes19c6,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1405442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes76c5,422$4,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,143.5569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked No80c5,320$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0641457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed Yes53c5,279$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes30c5,073$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.251,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0009272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes20c4,910$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9821915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No27c4,781$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.8296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c4,099$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.622,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes27c3,853$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.84431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes21c3,572$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.712,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No76c3,372$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.367042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No79c3,333$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9318259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No79c3,322$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.6285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No72c2,666$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.0742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9913…21cfbacked Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes66c2,262$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x601a…a675backed Yes53c2,134$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.9540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No38c1,955$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.1241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba3…c7f1backed Yes66c1,697$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.11850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No80c1,600$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No80c1,511$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.231,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes65c1,508$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9803063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No30c1,502$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.638062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30016050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes20c1,290$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2584647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789e…cf5ebacked Yes59c1,181$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No57c1,069$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.1461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No80c1,045$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20921253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca79…7f40backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes28c999.94$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.983630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4214…62e6backed Yes71c970.36$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No55c921.25$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.4746943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked No61c809.99$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.93764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes13c800$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023116.1%5 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Yes13c800$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No39c746$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.1711549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes38c740$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8325052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c731$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5838233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b64…707bbacked Yes21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Yes21c656.71$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.911838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes8c638.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes74c637.36$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.351136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004914.3%7 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No45c619$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.3224146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45aa…e6eabacked Yes20c601.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12035056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12060557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Yes12c600$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702313%3 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No48c599.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3127343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c560$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.221,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes33c554.55$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18323632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed No39c532$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.884440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes29c522.45$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.515050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Yes39c510$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.93060%18 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Yes20c505.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0140%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…d571backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…cc36backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc934…5551backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No30c499.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9915735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No80c456.25$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.253256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a0…6ea4backed Yes21c453.12$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.16333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.