TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Chris Rodesch

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Adam Waltonof Adam Walton, Chris Rodesch
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,941 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Chris Rodesch25c28,969$7,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,332.042,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Adam Walton75c28,247$21,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,191.031,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Adam Walton74c16,473$12,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,204.171,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Chris Rodesch24c8,929$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.3320336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Chris Rodesch46c4,000$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.788446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Chris Rodesch45c4,000$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.975856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Adam Walton75c3,514$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.973,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Adam Walton72c3,464$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.212,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Adam Walton61c2,609$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.872,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Adam Walton63c2,510$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.6924643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Chris Rodesch9c2,405$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.831,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Adam Walton64c2,346$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.0115252.6%80 W · 72 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Chris Rodesch29c2,179$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.081,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Adam Walton72c2,044$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.931,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Chris Rodesch38c2,000$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.9746932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Adam Walton62c1,883$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.8646473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Chris Rodesch51c1,756$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.5611158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Chris Rodesch37c1,606$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.2215952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chris Rodesch39c1,549$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.651,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Adam Walton54c1,549$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.3473453%389 W · 345 L+36.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Chris Rodesch33c1,510$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.7630131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Chris Rodesch40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Adam Walton61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58594355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chris Rodesch16c1,495$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed Chris Rodesch39c1,462$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57021537.2%80 W · 135 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Adam Walton60c1,253$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.562552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Chris Rodesch45c1,248$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.451,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Chris Rodesch30c1,157$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.041,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3df…f557backed Chris Rodesch40c1,100$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Chris Rodesch16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16021338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Adam Walton60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Adam Walton55c988$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.678452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Adam Walton62c950.65$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.652227.3%6 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-52.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Chris Rodesch26c695.11$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2536333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Chris Rodesch37c675.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chris Rodesch21c656.93$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.748,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad6…63a0backed Adam Walton54c648.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.155248.1%25 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Chris Rodesch35c630.27$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.594,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Adam Walton61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2344562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Chris Rodesch31c570.93$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.089,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Chris Rodesch39c550.87$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0187135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Chris Rodesch7c489.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3445147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Adam Walton77c486.71$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.262,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Adam Walton68c458.71$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.432,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Adam Walton75c406.67$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.671,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chris Rodesch42c387.19$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.623,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Adam Walton55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6421758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Adam Walton63c334.95$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.939453.2%50 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db3…035cbacked Adam Walton62c325$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Chris Rodesch40c318$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.21,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Chris Rodesch24c317$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.134744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Chris Rodesch34c314.55$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.161,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Adam Walton54c307.69$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9228747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Chris Rodesch22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Chris Rodesch27c274$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.861,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Chris Rodesch35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.57,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Chris Rodesch38c247.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Adam Walton69c242.78$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.514,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Adam Walton55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.279958.6%58 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Adam Walton76c214.58$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.863852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Adam Walton62c204.19$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5920552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Adam Walton60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8058753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Adam Walton76c189.47$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4750364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Chris Rodesch27c188$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.136839.1%144 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Adam Walton55c187.27$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2765250.3%328 W · 324 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Adam Walton61c180.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3322949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Adam Walton69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.155658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Adam Walton59c178.87$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4717859%105 W · 73 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d3…2d0fbacked Adam Walton75c172.11$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.034440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Adam Walton63c162.16$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6051849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Adam Walton55c160.44$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.111,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Chris Rodesch23c157.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Adam Walton59c152.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5426050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Chris Rodesch37c150.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1620554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Chris Rodesch37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.555660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Adam Walton59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.536261.6%223 W · 139 L+40.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Adam Walton56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6625546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Chris Rodesch38c144.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.894930.6%15 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Adam Walton77c141.48$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.116,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Adam Walton56c140.13$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6543242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Chris Rodesch40c137$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.827540%30 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked Chris Rodesch36c134.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.461926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Chris Rodesch36c130.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.343,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Adam Walton60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Chris Rodesch40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Adam Walton61c124.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7532050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Chris Rodesch16c120.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.861,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed Adam Walton63c118.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Chris Rodesch43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Adam Walton60c112.66$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0626254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc45…2957backed Chris Rodesch45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Adam Walton53c102$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7986647.9%415 W · 451 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Adam Walton55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.514746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Chris Rodesch38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Chris Rodesch37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x794c…fa17backed Adam Walton60c94.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9115070%105 W · 45 L+0.6wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Chris Rodesch20c90.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.053429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Adam Walton56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2933155.6%184 W · 147 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5e…a98cbacked Adam Walton63c88.79$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.854557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Adam Walton59c84.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.176758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.