TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdad6…63a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst F1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT5248.1%25 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Estoril Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskovabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$3,555.56
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Reyes/Tabilobacked Reyes/Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.99
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderibacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+208%+$3,120.53
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,138.46
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignonbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,280.12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Geneva Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$373.27
Paris: Madison Keys vs Sarah Rakotomangabacked Sarah Rakotomanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.46
Wuxi: Akira Santillan vs Coleman Wongbacked Akira Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,429.94
Savannah: Andres Martin vs Clement Taburbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.8
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.85
Madrid Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.99
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.62
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.58
BMW Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.07
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.65
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$217.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.