TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Valencia vs. Saski Baskonia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saski Baskoniaof Valencia, Saski Baskonia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Saski Baskonia76c28,737$21,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,783.1154251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valencia6c11,882$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.6535234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Saski Baskonia78c9,615$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.371850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Valencia24c8,626$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.4434344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6292…d696backed Valencia25c5,179$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Valencia21c4,936$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.419946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Valencia22c4,566$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.198453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Valencia23c4,251$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.5531651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdad6…63a0backed Valencia22c4,007$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Valencia20c2,694$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5471747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Valencia45c2,546$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.885151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5028…9bb7backed Valencia8c2,378$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Valencia8c2,204$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.08520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47c…fa04backed Saski Baskonia66c1,942$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Valencia62c1,924$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20013650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…d7ffbacked Valencia21c1,815$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Valencia22c1,784$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76fd…af65backed Valencia30c1,689$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Valencia1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Valencia16c1,355$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.617138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Saski Baskonia78c1,343$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.826747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Valencia22c1,326$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.968037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x465a…c619backed Valencia22c1,295$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Valencia11c1,241$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Valencia34c1,203$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3843543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Valencia16c1,117$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.762544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Valencia24c1,071$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.15230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Saski Baskonia53c1,069$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Valencia22c1,035$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7610451.9%54 W · 50 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Valencia27c1,028$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6113220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c5…0817backed Valencia29c1,028$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Valencia39c1,015$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.265248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Valencia10c972.01$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.191631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-48.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Valencia7c887$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.83336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Valencia7c884$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.776137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Saski Baskonia53c859.19$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6413046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Valencia51c705.12$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Valencia10c666.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.02425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Valencia11c641.18$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Saski Baskonia75c607.23$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Valencia15c585.66$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6813545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Valencia6c549$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e22…0804backed Saski Baskonia79c519.33$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Valencia14c519$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Saski Baskonia72c499.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Valencia25c465.83$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.243148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Valencia52c446.42$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.145046%23 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Valencia19c422.35$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.445646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Valencia4c421.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-70.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Valencia11c400$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Saski Baskonia52c376$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.721435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4484…9defbacked Valencia28c357.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Valencia57c349.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Valencia7c341.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.64131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Valencia33c340.64$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.593933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe20a…a130backed Saski Baskonia46c335.17$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Valencia25c319.94$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3626…3834backed Valencia7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+87.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Valencia30c299.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Valencia13c299$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.874146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Saski Baskonia57c287.18$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.092850%14 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Valencia38c281.84$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4124430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Valencia17c265.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.461598.2%13 W · 146 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Valencia22c260.46$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.527042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Valencia18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Valencia15c249.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.466744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe984…d22abacked Valencia28c235.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Saski Baskonia55c229.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.99756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42fc…0808backed Saski Baskonia78c209.67$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Valencia44c205.68$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0810736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Saski Baskonia45c203.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3810947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Valencia28c185.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4621535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Valencia16c174.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4221444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e4…a2ccbacked Valencia28c171.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Valencia34c147.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Valencia7c143$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0112136.4%44 W · 77 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Valencia28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Saski Baskonia63c139.57$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc46…79c4backed Saski Baskonia36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.892321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Saski Baskonia66c130.55$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Valencia15c125.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e40…47a4backed Valencia8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb4…ebf7backed Valencia36c124.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Valencia37c120$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+109.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Valencia12c117.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b04…f467backed Saski Baskonia59c117.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…f36fbacked Saski Baskonia52c114.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x932c…8658backed Valencia29c110.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Valencia11c107.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Valencia34c105.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4625517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x548e…3834backed Valencia10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Valencia10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Valencia22c89.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Saski Baskonia65c88.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.681145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Saski Baskonia34c84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.44560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+95.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62ee…1183backed Valencia29c77.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Valencia28c70.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Valencia28c69.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0dc…0030backed Saski Baskonia73c68.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Valencia25c63.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.176642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.