F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d0531f54bd0d6e7969b5e8818d754849676b5ede82c24ee853a5c6d8088fed3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,688 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 37c | 29,961$11,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,888.07 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Yes | 68c | 17,054$11,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,514.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 58c | 16,421$9,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,550.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 37c | 13,246$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,343.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5947backed No | 80c | 10,220$8,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…33e8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 43c | 9,269$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…8816backed Yes | 59c | 8,209$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 44c | 7,981$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.52 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Yes | 63c | 7,478$4,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked No | 40c | 6,989$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185.82 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 24c | 5,693$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.74 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 43c | 5,247$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.09 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 43c | 4,934$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.11 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 56c | 4,406$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.64 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…f1bcbacked No | 44c | 4,216$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…4ac0backed Yes | 31c | 3,539$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 39c | 3,536$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.61 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 20c | 3,172$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.4 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 42c | 3,155$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 58c | 2,879$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 54c | 2,772$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.51 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 54c | 2,684$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.47 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 58c | 2,631$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.36 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes | 20c | 2,510$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 39c | 2,471$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.65 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,115$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 66c | 2,075$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…6b9fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,833$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…954abacked Yes | 54c | 1,808$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Yes | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 39c | 1,652$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.84 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Yes | 61c | 1,591$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 43c | 1,589$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.67 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed Yes | 68c | 1,582$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…2727backed Yes | 57c | 1,533$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…9924backed Yes | 41c | 1,445$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 1,429$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.28 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…b19fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,367$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 68c | 1,351$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.27 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 38c | 1,329$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 36c | 1,299$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.48 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 43c | 1,293$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.08 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3487backed Yes | 63c | 1,280$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed Yes | 7c | 1,223$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 62c | 1,200$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 21c | 1,171$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Yes | 21c | 1,155$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Yes | 65c | 1,111$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.66 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 32c | 1,090$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc969…94acbacked Yes | 59c | 1,084$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Yes | 14c | 1,066$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 36c | 1,022$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.07 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688d…59b6backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 46c | 967.99$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.62 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 21c | 898.16$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.87 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 77c | 881.22$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.15 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked No | 44c | 878.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed No | 44c | 875.58$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Yes | 8c | 875$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 59c | 811.05$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…a51dbacked Yes | 79c | 810.56$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 38c | 799.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.99 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 18c | 795$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 34c | 747.66$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.67 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…cd86backed Yes | 25c | 720$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…1b59backed Yes | 20c | 684.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d0…bd77backed Yes | 22c | 668.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 56c | 645$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 57c | 621.01$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…b22dbacked Yes | 57c | 618.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1083…be16backed Yes | 57c | 603.9$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 41c | 589.52$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.71 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 49c | 563.11$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…1051backed Yes | 6c | 558.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b56…030ebacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes | 59c | 519$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…7edfbacked Yes | 53c | 467.94$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 65c | 459.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 17c | 459.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 58c | 445$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 52c | 444.36$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…8490backed Yes | 68c | 418.56$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…6007backed Yes | 67c | 400.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…29c7backed Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Yes | 66c | 399.98$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc9…2dc6backed Yes | 58c | 399.24$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…81d3backed Yes | 44c | 397.73$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 52c | 387.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6f…8623backed Yes | 58c | 385.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 23c | 381.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4191…569fbacked Yes | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 57c | 345.55$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…f701backed Yes | 58c | 344.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.