F1 · resolved market
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da1e94025a1c2abfd7817b529deb6d87da67a2fea826ccbe8a6709c780bdb42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,122 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 11c | 12,500$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 55c | 12,449$6,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,592.2 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 26c | 12,099$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,977.11 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5947backed Yes | 75c | 10,843$8,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 8c | 9,811$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.41 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1caa…46a0backed Yes | 28c | 9,084$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,585.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 26c | 8,780$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,508.97 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed No | 73c | 7,786$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,683.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 24c | 7,130$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,432.97 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…afd0backed Yes | 37c | 5,186$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 52c | 4,098$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.83 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 43c | 3,970$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.32 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 19c | 3,879$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.95 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 25c | 2,364$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.39 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 2,149$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.26 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes | 30c | 1,992$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,908$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 1,899$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.56 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 12c | 1,830$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…2727backed Yes | 68c | 1,679$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…6d6dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,664$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…0626backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed No | 32c | 1,486$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 43c | 1,335$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.58 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 70c | 1,290$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.09 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 986.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes | 28c | 887.5$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…6007backed Yes | 73c | 866.03$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 73c | 799.95$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 27c | 798.8$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.12 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…4bffbacked Yes | 70c | 713.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 29c | 697.3$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 73c | 688.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 72c | 640.57$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.9 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 27c | 632.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.82 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 42c | 629.8$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 51c | 619.4$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Yes | 34c | 590.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.59 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Yes | 27c | 578.37$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 17c | 569.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 27c | 567.26$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…c488backed Yes | 57c | 558.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 51c | 548.01$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed No | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 26c | 538.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.46 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +9.1wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Yes | 77c | 535.54$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Yes | 30c | 532.8$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 28c | 516.57$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.39 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 34c | 501.77$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.61 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…41fbbacked Yes | 60c | 488.45$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes | 31c | 476.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac3…ac42backed No | 74c | 473.79$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 11c | 447.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.07 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 21c | 443.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…b22dbacked Yes | 67c | 420$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.01 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…b3fcbacked Yes | 52c | 415.77$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Yes | 46c | 413.46$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…2569backed Yes | 77c | 410.45$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 54c | 402.46$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 74c | 391$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Yes | 26c | 381.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed Yes | 23c | 377.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.06 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…ee9bbacked Yes | 29c | 365.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 30c | 359.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.76 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…8791backed Yes | 17c | 350.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +476.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…c7adbacked Yes | 29c | 341.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Yes | 11c | 330$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…cd86backed No | 12c | 325.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…ecb9backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…d9e4backed Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed No | 8c | 299.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 15c | 294.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 10c | 285.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.89 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 37c | 267.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes | 75c | 267.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 17c | 259$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes | 73c | 258.35$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…8a74backed No | 68c | 242.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…3ddebacked Yes | 78c | 217.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…39d9backed Yes | 28c | 216.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 36c | 213$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 75c | 212.48$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 50c | 212.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…b994backed Yes | 38c | 211.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed No | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 12c | 208.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 29c | 208.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 64c | 201.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…114ebacked Yes | 32c | 201.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…3fb4backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…1ec7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…56b4backed No | 72c | 199.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.