F1 · resolved market
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x972864076ccc735db96ab57d60ba4ce8479de54480b76aefc6984cdb95f6e45a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,447 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 9c | 8,144$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 9c | 8,016$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b3…25babacked Yes | 3c | 4,095$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 2,956$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…587ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,596$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 7c | 2,419$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…c108backed Yes | 9c | 2,234$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 7c | 2,181$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 7c | 2,112$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…0b34backed Yes | 10c | 2,068$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac3…ac42backed Yes | 10c | 2,066$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…cd86backed Yes | 5c | 1,593$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…b22dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,551$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,544$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 1,274$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 10c | 1,163$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 1,129$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,072$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…f2d7backed Yes | 10c | 1,047$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x688d…59b6backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 4c | 980.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 4c | 946.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…5e7bbacked Yes | 11c | 943.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 2c | 716.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3800…c45fbacked Yes | 9c | 678.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…64c3backed Yes | 8c | 659.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 7c | 633.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 4c | 627.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…dd83backed Yes | 10c | 624.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1083…be16backed Yes | 8c | 617.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 4c | 616.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…5ac6backed Yes | 7c | 600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 9c | 600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 7c | 581.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes | 9c | 573.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 7c | 548.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…cd38backed Yes | 13c | 531.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 8c | 529.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…b2e6backed Yes | 8c | 527.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes | 14c | 525.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…88bbbacked Yes | 6c | 525.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 10c | 503$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 8c | 499.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bb…4a38backed Yes | 2c | 472.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…109bbacked Yes | 12c | 456.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 8c | 432.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0f…abc1backed Yes | 13c | 421.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…405fbacked Yes | 10c | 400.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…0ea4backed Yes | 6c | 399.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes | 9c | 389.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…d466backed Yes | 13c | 387.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…b994backed Yes | 8c | 376.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…b3fcbacked Yes | 17c | 376.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 5c | 359.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274d…42a7backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Yes | 7c | 340.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…1f7bbacked Yes | 10c | 335.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes | 7c | 327.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 4c | 325.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1344…e722backed Yes | 9c | 316.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…7242backed Yes | 3c | 301.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 19c | 297.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 9c | 282.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 9c | 279.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…3b95backed Yes | 8c | 275.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 18c | 273.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…6a0ebacked Yes | 8c | 271.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 20c | 259.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…94c4backed Yes | 4c | 254.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…3e2cbacked Yes | 8c | 252.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…7f02backed Yes | 11c | 251.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…269dbacked Yes | 8c | 249.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Yes | 11c | 246.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 8c | 240.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 10c | 234.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…39d9backed Yes | 9c | 234.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…8e8bbacked Yes | 6c | 232.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…51dcbacked Yes | 9c | 232.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5c…b693backed Yes | 9c | 230.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 9c | 229.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Yes | 10c | 229.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Yes | 14c | 212.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 8c | 210.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Yes | 10c | 209.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…15e7backed Yes | 8c | 208.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 11c | 204.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…b712backed Yes | 25c | 201.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…3fb4backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb63…5241backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 10c | 195.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 8c | 195.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.