TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,652 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes7c12,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb064…0b34backed Yes7c11,391$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.55520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1caa…46a0backed Yes8c10,142$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+81.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes8c5,251$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.681723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72b…c108backed Yes8c2,542$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b7…0b34backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12512246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c2,064$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.25258%2 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes6c1,846$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.295714%8 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007f…cd86backed Yes5c1,440$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-78.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f5…c78dbacked Yes10c1,027$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes3c999.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.270%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x688d…59b6backed Yes15c999.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2894…d9d8backed Yes7c999.91$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7670%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x934c…cd38backed Yes9c991.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2870%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes10c986.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes6c984.49$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.07170%0 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3800…c45fbacked Yes6c915.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd30b…1b50backed Yes17c859.35$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143110%0 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes1c799.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes7c699.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496410.9%7 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6556…26d6backed Yes15c687.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…2763backed Yes14c670.09$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.160%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes7c633.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.822133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes13c630.35$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.564035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdac3…ac42backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes11c612$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.359333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes8c572.18$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.776819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes6c557.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1270%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed Yes5c533.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22864.3%18 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes2c520.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec53…e515backed Yes7c448.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Yes8c430.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.292321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f4d…3e2cbacked Yes3c421.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.26110%0 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Yes7c400$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc647…7242backed Yes3c383.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.232045%9 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x274d…42a7backed Yes11c379.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb0…1f7bbacked Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…405fbacked Yes12c360$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.250%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes4c339.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes4c338.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.34195.3%1 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x220f…5476backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes6c333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9815932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Yes7c314$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.98728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3773…e51bbacked Yes8c299.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.99425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6d…e581backed Yes7c285.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-74.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc6e…1fd1backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-65.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ea…f29dbacked Yes6c280.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-88%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f5…28dcbacked Yes8c264.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes13c256.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5912325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes6c255$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Yes7c254.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051f…66b0backed Yes24c253.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes6c252.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7290%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Yes8c251.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf17…ef38backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes9c245.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.878127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c5c…b693backed Yes6c235.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19e…39d9backed Yes9c229.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes7c220.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.161926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes6c214.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be4…b548backed Yes13c199.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263727%10 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c1…a7cbbacked Yes10c193.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd3…3387backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x303b…6380backed Yes16c180.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186e…af96backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa791…269dbacked Yes7c157.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f74…0319backed Yes7c154.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa120…6cb5backed Yes19c138.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160a…ffa2backed Yes15c129.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.221127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f5f…ed69backed Yes8c128.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-47.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cea…8774backed Yes10c112.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0865…81d3backed Yes14c99.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes21c94.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…14c2backed Yes22c90.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes15c86.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f45…f0cabacked Yes13c75.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfda2…68e7backed Yes16c73.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6b…25ffbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…6071backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.