TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06c1…2727

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$424.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$420
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.52
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,405.19
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.96
First Blood in Game 1?backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.6
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,776Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$935
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,481.68
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$371
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,689.97
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,849.99
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,209.98
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,429.98
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,480
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$1,500
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$640
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,400
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,760Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+70.5%+$1,240
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$310
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$2,583
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$198
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$91.3
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.94
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.46
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,890
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-45.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.6
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$621
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$286
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$46
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,613Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+150%+$5,418.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,060Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37.2%+$1,509.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$480
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$205.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,647.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.