Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69068b8711bba02e92a362e04dc4ed60f24522b5122221828e0963ec597ab991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof LYON, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,116,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,116,120 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LYON | 34c | 26,833$9,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,028.1 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed LYON | 26c | 25,781$6,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,589.56 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…2ee1backed LYON | 11c | 25,433$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked LYON | 17c | 24,176$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.92 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed JD Gaming | 70c | 20,585$14,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,169.17 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed LYON | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked LYON | 18c | 17,722$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.57 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed LYON | 17c | 17,388$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.04 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked JD Gaming | 63c | 17,249$10,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375.04 | 384 | 62%238 W · 146 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LYON | 18c | 15,302$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.33 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed JD Gaming | 39c | 14,634$5,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,932.63 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked JD Gaming | 55c | 14,142$7,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,357.19 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed LYON | 17c | 13,635$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.5 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LYON | 16c | 12,534$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.78 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…e8e5backed JD Gaming | 68c | 12,000$8,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed LYON | 47c | 11,979$5,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,619.53 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…2afbbacked LYON | 16c | 11,476$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed LYON | 2c | 11,110$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed JD Gaming | 47c | 10,451$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,585.44 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed JD Gaming | 11c | 10,091$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,012.79 | 200 | 35%70 W · 130 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed LYON | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked LYON | 42c | 8,874$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.37 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…12e2backed JD Gaming | 54c | 7,987$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.13 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +23.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed LYON | 43c | 7,952$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.32 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LYON | 16c | 7,520$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.16 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked LYON | 31c | 7,485$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.32 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LYON | 45c | 7,390$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.92 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…7074backed LYON | 26c | 7,081$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LYON | 18c | 7,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed LYON | 51c | 6,919$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.99 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed JD Gaming | 57c | 6,475$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.12 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9560…9467backed LYON | 18c | 6,434$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.18 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed LYON | 17c | 6,170$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked LYON | 43c | 5,451$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.98 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked JD Gaming | 58c | 5,408$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.47 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed JD Gaming | 76c | 5,334$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.41 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed LYON | 18c | 5,300$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.41 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…9429backed LYON | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 143 | 24.5%35 W · 108 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed LYON | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed LYON | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 226 | 24.8%56 W · 170 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked LYON | 18c | 4,673$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.21 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked LYON | 17c | 4,608$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.47 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…1ca2backed JD Gaming | 41c | 4,426$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked JD Gaming | 50c | 4,422$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.38 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked LYON | 38c | 4,393$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.34 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked JD Gaming | 72c | 4,321$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed LYON | 28c | 4,000$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.15 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LYON | 34c | 3,788$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.95 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed JD Gaming | 24c | 3,739$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.11 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed JD Gaming | 31c | 3,700$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked LYON | 17c | 3,448$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.3 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked LYON | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed LYON | 17c | 3,274$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.58 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…bc94backed JD Gaming | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked LYON | 37c | 3,010$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.72 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed LYON | 33c | 3,006$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.39 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed LYON | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked LYON | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +66%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked LYON | 44c | 2,979$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.49 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked JD Gaming | 59c | 2,973$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.92 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…6d5ebacked LYON | 18c | 2,766$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…2727backed JD Gaming | 66c | 2,711$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed JD Gaming | 44c | 2,701$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.54 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed LYON | 61c | 2,508$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.67 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LYON | 17c | 2,485$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.51 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LYON | 17c | 2,438$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.47 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked JD Gaming | 46c | 2,387$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.98 | 206 | 49%101 W · 105 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed LYON | 73c | 2,320$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.59 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked LYON | 47c | 2,222$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed LYON | 42c | 2,183$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.84 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…e5babacked JD Gaming | 64c | 2,100$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.67 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed LYON | 15c | 2,062$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked LYON | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed JD Gaming | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed LYON | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed JD Gaming | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 404 | 35.1%142 W · 262 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…11fbbacked JD Gaming | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.9 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…8e76backed JD Gaming | 73c | 1,973$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.1 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed LYON | 20c | 1,880$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed JD Gaming | 34c | 1,750$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.5 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed LYON | 18c | 1,750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…1c93backed JD Gaming | 65c | 1,680$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…f9c5backed JD Gaming | 65c | 1,615$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…bdbabacked LYON | 49c | 1,600$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…7926backed LYON | 58c | 1,600$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed JD Gaming | 25c | 1,575$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.98 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b19dbacked JD Gaming | 64c | 1,550$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed JD Gaming | 48c | 1,516$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.45 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed LYON | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed LYON | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…0670backed LYON | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed JD Gaming | 34c | 1,500$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.99 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked JD Gaming | 43c | 1,485$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.78 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed JD Gaming | 52c | 1,411$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.58 | 443 | 50.8%225 W · 218 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed JD Gaming | 57c | 1,405$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.45 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…fec8backed JD Gaming | 74c | 1,333$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.33 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked JD Gaming | 24c | 1,300$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed LYON | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 1cpaid | +915.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed JD Gaming | 41c | 1,300$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked LYON | 3c | 1,292$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 2?JD Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 4?LYON won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group BJD Gaming won
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.