TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,968 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Over54c20,554$11,161 inLost-$11,161.217163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under45c12,868$5,844 inWon+$7,023.662850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under46c5,823$2,699 inWon+$3,124.1318829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost-$1,06021954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…4925backed Under46c1,652$760 inWon+$892.171330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Under46c1,087$500 inWon+$586.9619042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under46c1,028$468 inWon+$560.48929.2%26 W · 63 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over55c658.99$361 inLost-$361.251,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Under49c360$175 inWon+$185.171,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Under48c208.48$100 inWon+$108.4830155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over44c200$88 inLost-$883,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ca…731bbacked Under56c200$112 inWon+$883850%19 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under50c70$35 inWon+$3517136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea15…ba9ebacked Over50c70$35 inLost-$3520140.8%82 W · 119 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Under46c66.09$30 inWon+$35.6954944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82a…ef47backed Under46c62.78$29 inWon+$33.93246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Under63c58.31$37 inWon+$21.4175942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f9…19a0backed Under56c50$28 inWon+$22.02785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Under44c45.43$20 inWon+$25.443754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10b…9885backed Under45c22.24$10 inWon+$12.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Over55c21$11 inLost-$11.453969.2%27 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.