Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x919db4846c664d15d0b95b827f4364688499fd5225e8f272eea1e8d750f86a2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,494 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x641c…9a65backed Under | 61c | 3,403$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 68c | 1,686$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.94 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 15c | 1,264$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.84 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 17c | 1,161$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 3c | 1,035$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 704.34$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.21 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 49c | 702.63$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.75 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 7c | 616.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Under | 48c | 561$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 31c | 473.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 16c | 411$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 226 | 36.7%83 W · 143 L | -16.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 45c | 370.07$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.84 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 28c | 340.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 72c | 285.13$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 40c | 273.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 37c | 268.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed Over | 38c | 265.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…fd4cbacked Over | 9c | 253.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 15c | 249.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 38c | 245.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 47c | 205.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 37c | 160.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Over | 26c | 137.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 35c | 102.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…9b4ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc515…b732backed Under | 73c | 92.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Over | 34c | 91.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 682 | 53.5%365 W · 317 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Over | 37c | 90.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 197 | 38.6%76 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…67b1backed Under | 69c | 85.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Under | 49c | 82.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 35c | 56.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 69c | 50.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 195 | 52.3%102 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 43c | 46.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…486cbacked Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 34c | 30.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…2039backed Under | 68c | 27.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…f08fbacked Under | 64c | 23.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…eac9backed Over | 58c | 22.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 2?JD Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 4?LYON won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group BJD Gaming won
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.