TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,775 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9194…2ee1backed Under56c23,582$13,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,195.471540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x641c…9a65backed Over50c12,462$6,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,265.961855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over36c6,056$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.912,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over52c3,745$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.2619648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c8…c34ebacked Under68c2,206$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under64c2,192$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.463,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over41c2,122$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.731,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under24c1,893$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1414852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Over48c1,875$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.6825560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Under55c1,575$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.5439749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Over62c1,441$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.7811244.6%50 W · 62 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Under59c1,400$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82650945.8%233 W · 276 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over43c899.97$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.9837039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Under57c710.38$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.6128655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over45c699.97$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.981,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over39c650.92$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.0817136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aaf…61a5backed Over63c641.27$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over50c601.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5963458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7df…7f82backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002025%5 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Under55c594.2$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.415451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06dc…69c0backed Under55c566.33$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3141553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked Under48c485.13$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1616654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over61c482.69$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1243442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Over44c447.42$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5644743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over44c425.8$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.820249%99 W · 103 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Under60c410.34$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24813971.2%99 W · 40 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Over42c400$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23412450%62 W · 62 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over43c375.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1349346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb449…a924backed Under55c362.58$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.922263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c361.72$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.232,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed Under56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.63625%9 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+47.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Over51c349.05$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9850749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde6e…7fa3backed Over48c341.58$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6228552.6%150 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Under4c329.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.243953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over35c320$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.92,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Over63c319.44$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1912639.7%50 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Over50c317.85$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.151160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ba…afdabacked Over37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18917616.5%29 W · 147 L-11.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.863754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b70…1efebacked Under50c258.11$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.987250%36 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over44c249.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.981,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Under67c225.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016456.7%93 W · 71 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c216.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.481,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under56c214.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.311,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b9…aa71backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Under59c212.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3323855.9%133 W · 105 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7cd…3337backed Under53c207.09$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102080%16 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over63c206.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.354856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under8c204.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1311316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105834.5%20 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+82.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under59c198.78$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11719052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over50c197.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5628843.1%124 W · 164 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under12c190$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.742124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010766.4%71 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed Over49c184.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.867927.8%22 W · 57 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed Under72c178$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8228942.6%123 W · 166 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed Under59c169.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006761.2%41 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7363540.2%255 W · 380 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b6…80adbacked Under68c157.15$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.465259.6%31 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over53c156.07$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0510237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3643…46a5backed Under66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Under60c149.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under53c147.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2329240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under54c140$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7579545.3%360 W · 435 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed Under61c137.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Under49c137.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.145442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Over56c127.11$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.931540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+140.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8d…abd7backed Over45c127$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under40c123.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.531,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over43c123.61$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9344128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under48c121.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2730445.7%139 W · 165 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeba…ae51backed Under55c115.05$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.28560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Under56c107.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6048042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed Under56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6169…e0d2backed Under55c107.05$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc609…4267backed Over47c106.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.36per pick48cpaid-73.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Under48c106.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.895836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed Over34c105$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.33145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4296749.8%482 W · 485 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679549.5%47 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over45c97.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7532941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…a06dbacked Under54c92.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaca…a0b6backed Over40c92.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.96825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Over47c83.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3133736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc304…d362backed Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Over41c81.79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.91338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc2…b3b6backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under41c77.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.921030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Under47c72.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.294420.5%9 W · 35 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-62.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc8a6…467cbacked Under56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.27644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e89…bb29backed Over35c69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8514054.3%76 W · 64 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4781…16e6backed Under59c68.71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5411852.5%62 W · 56 L-0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under18c66.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8489810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb1…24dfbacked Over47c62.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.351163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.672637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under54c59.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3216357.1%93 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x539d…59e0backed Under55c58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.